Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Wildcats versus the Spartans? Tip off is at at 7:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on BTN. The game will be played at Breslin Center in East Lansing, MI. The odds for this Big Ten conference game currently have Michigan State as the -9 point favorite with the over/under line sitting at 137 points.


The Pick: Northwestern Wildcats +9

This game will be played at Breslin Center at 7:00 ET on Wednesday, March 6th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Spartans.
  • Even though we have Michigan State winning straight-up, we like Northwestern at +9.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 137 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.

Will Northwestern Secure A Victory as Road Underdogs?

Northwestern enters this game with a 20-9 record, including an 11-7 mark in Big Ten play. On the road, the Wildcats are 4-7 this season, and they have won two straight games away from home.

So far this year, Northwestern has been the underdog in 11 games, going 5-6 in those contests. With a +9 point spread, they will be the underdog once again today.

Northwestern has been a solid bet vs. the spread this season with a 15-12-2 record. As the underdog, the Wildcats are 7-4 vs. the spread this year and 7-3 in their last 10 games as the underdog. On the road, Northwestern has gone 5-5-1 vs. the spread this season and they are 5-4-1 in their last 10 road games vs. the spread. In their last 3 road games, the Wildcats have a perfect 3-0 mark vs. the spread.

On the season, the over/under record for Northwestern games is 18-11, and the average point total in their games is 144. Today’s over/under line of 137 is below their season average, but their last three games have an average scoring total of 144 points.

The Northwestern offense is coming off a game in which they scored 80 points vs. Iowa. Overall their field goal percentage was 53.8% while connecting on 10 threes. Boo Buie is currently the leading scorer for the team, entering today’s matchup with an average of 18.9. Meanwhile, Brooks Barnhizer also brings a PPG average of 14.4 into the game.

The Wildcats’ defense is presently ranked 110th nationally, allowing an average of 69.6 points per contest. Against Iowa in their most recent game, the Northwestern defense gave up a total of 87 points while allowing Iowa to hit 53% of their shots.

Is a Home Win Possible for Michigan State?

Michigan State will be looking to snap a three-game losing streak when they take on Northwestern. The Spartans are 17-12 on the year, including a 14-6 record at home. So far, they have been favored in 22 of their 29 games, going 15-7 in those contests.

Over their last 10 games at home, the Spartans are 8-2, and their average scoring margin at home this year is +12.8 points per game. In their most recent game, Michigan State fell to Purdue by a score of 80-74.

As the favorite this season, Michigan State has gone 13-9 vs. the spread. Their overall ATS record is 17-12, but they are just 1-2 vs. the spread in their last three home games and 7-3 in their last 10 home games.

On the season, the over/under record in Michigan State games sits at 13-16, and today’s line of 137 is lower than the average over/under line in their games this year (142.1). Over their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2, and the average scoring total in those games is 139 points.

In their latest game, Michigan State offense put up 74 points against Purdue. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 39.1% and made 9 threes. Tyson Walker is leading the team in scoring at 18 points per contest. Malik Hall has also been a key contributor with a PPG average of 12.9 going into the game.

Michigan State’s defense has been playing well, ranking 41st nationally, with 66.5 points allowed per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Michigan State’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 41.3% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 32.9% this season.