The Wildcats and Hoosiers are set to face off at 3:00 ET on FS1. The Hoosiers will host the game at Simon Skjodt Assembly Hall in Bloomington, IN. The over/under for this game is set at 138.5 points, and Indiana is favored by -1.5 vs. Northwestern in a Big Ten conference matchup.

NORTHWESTERN WILDCATS VS INDIANA HOOSIERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Indiana Hoosiers -1.5

This game will be played at Simon Skjodt Assembly Hall at 3:00 ET on Sunday, February 18th.

WHY BET THE INDIANA HOOSIERS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-68 in favor of the Hoosiers.
  • Not only will Indiana pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -1.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 138.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.

Can the Northwestern Offense Score Enough on the Road?

Northwestern has been a different team on the road compared to at home this season. They are 15-1 at home, but just 2-7 on the road. Their average scoring margin at home is +11.3, while on the road it is -6.7.

Overall, the Wildcats are 17-8 this season, including an 8-6 mark in Big Ten play. They have been the underdog in nine games, going 3-6 in those contests. In their last game, they lost to Rutgers by a score of 63-60.

Northwestern’s ATS record this season is 12-11-2, including a 3-5-1 mark on the road. As the underdog, the Wildcats are 5-4 vs. the spread this year. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, Northwestern has gone 6-4 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 138.5 is in line with the average over/under line in Northwestern’s games this season (137.2). So far, 14 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 133 points, which is lower than the season average of 143.8 points per game.

In their most recent game, the Northwestern offense put up just 60 points vs. the Rutgers Scarlet Knights. Overall, they are now averaging 74.3 points per game which is 192nd in the country. The team’s top scorer is Boo Buie, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 19.2, while Brooks Barnhizer also carries a PPG average of 14.3 into the game.

At this time, the Wildcats’ defense is positioned 111st in the country, permitting 69.5 points per game. In their previous game vs. Rutgers, the Scarlet Knights finished with a field goal percentage of 39% and a total of 63 points vs. Northwestern.

Can Indiana Deliver Being Favored at Home?

Indiana enters tonight’s game against Northwestern as the favorite, as they have been in 12 of their 24 games this season. The Hoosiers are 11-1 when favored, and they will look to improve their 11-4 record at home.

Indiana comes into this game with an overall record of 14-10, including a 6-7 mark in Big Ten play. In their last game, the Hoosiers lost to Purdue by a score of 79-59. Over their last 10 games at home, Indiana has gone 6-4.

As the favorite this season, Indiana has gone 6-5-1 vs. the spread. At home, the Hoosiers have an ATS mark of 8-7, including a 1-2 record in their last three games.

Indiana’s over/under record for the season sits at 12-12 and today’s line of 138.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games of 145.9. So far, 10 of their games have finished with less points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 147 points compared to their season average of 147.4 points per game.

Against Purdue, the Indiana had a tough time putting up points compared to their season average of 73 points per game. They scored 59 points and posted a field goal percentage of 41.8% in the game. Leading the team in scoring is Malik Reneau, who is averaging 16 heading into today’s matchup. Additionally, Kel’el Ware also maintains a PPG average of 14.6 heading into game.

At this time, the Hoosiers’ defense is positioned 237th in the country, permitting 74.4 points per game. The Indiana defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 79 points and allowed Purdue to connect on 8 threes.