Don’t miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Demons and Cardinals. The game is starting at 6:00 ET on ESPN+, and it’s hosted by the Cardinals at McDermott Convocation Center in San Antonio, TX. Get ready to place your bets! This Southland conference matchup has an over/under of 145 points, and Incarnate Word is favored to win by -2.5 at home vs. Northwestern State.

NORTHWESTERN STATE DEMONS VS INCARNATE WORD CARDINALS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Incarnate Word Cardinals -2.5

This game will be played at McDermott Convocation Center at 6:00 ET on Saturday, February 17th.

WHY BET THE INCARNATE WORD CARDINALS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 77-69 in favor of the Cardinals.
  • Not only will Incarnate Word pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -2.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 145 points, and we like the over with a projected 146 points.

Will Northwestern State Make it Happen on the Road?

Northwestern State has struggled on the road this season, going just 1-12 away from home. They are coming off a 70-59 win over New Orleans and have gone 1-4 in their last five road games. On the season, they have an average scoring margin of -15.9 points per game away from home.

For the year, the Demons are 7-18 and 5-7 in Southland Conference play. They have gone 2-18 as the underdog compared to 3-0 as the favorite.

Northwestern State has an ATS record of 11-12 this season and is 6-7 vs. the spread on the road. As the underdog, the Demons are 8-12 vs. the spread this year and have gone 0-3 ATS in their last three games as the underdog. On the road, Northwestern State has an ATS mark of just 3-7 in their last 10 games.

On the season, the over/under record for Northwestern State games is 13-10, and the average scoring total in their games is 145.1. Today’s over/under line of 145 is very close to that average. So far, 11 of their games have had a higher over/under line than 145, and 11 have finished with more points than that. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is just 132 points, and the over/under record during that span is 0-3.

Coming off their recent game, the Northwestern State offense tallied 70 points in a matchup against New Orleans. Their field goal percentage for the game was 44.1%, and they made 4 threes. On the offensive front, the Demons have a season-long field goal percentage of 43%, ranking 290th nationally. When it comes to three-point shooting, they are ranked 327th in terms of percentage and 248th in three-pointers made.

Facing Incarnate Word, Northwestern State aims for a better defensive performance, given their current average of 76.8 points allowed per game (280th). So far, the Northwestern State defense is giving up an average of 9.9 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 12.9 times per game (658th).

Can Incarnate Word Deliver Being Favored at Home?

Incarnate Word has struggled this season, as they are just 8-16 overall and 3-8 in Southland Conference play. They have been even worse on the road, going 3-12 with an average scoring margin of -9.2 points per game.

However, the Cardinals have been better at home, going 3-4 with an average scoring margin of -2.1 points per game. They have won two straight games at home and are 6-4 in their last 10 games at home.

As the favorite this season, Incarnate Word has yet to cover the spread, going 0-3. Their overall ATS mark is 9-12-1, but they have gone just 4-3 vs. the spread at home. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Cardinals are just 2-8 vs. the spread.

Incarnate Word’s over/under record for the season sits at 12-10, and the average scoring total in their games is currently at 150.5 points. Today’s over/under line of 145 is lower than the average OU line in their games this year (148.5). Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 150 points.

The Incarnate Word offense is coming off a game where they scored 76 points against Lamar. They posted a field goal percentage of 44.6% and connected on 7 threes. Leading the team in scoring was Sky Wicks with 19 points. Alex Anderson also added 16 points for the Cardinals.

Facing Northwestern State, Incarnate Word aims for a better defensive performance, given their current average of 77.9 points allowed per game (295th). Against Lamar in their most recent game, the Incarnate Word defense gave up a total of 67 points while allowing Lamar to hit 44% of their shots.