Don’t miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Norse and Penguins. The game is starting at 1:30 ET on ESPN+, and it’s hosted by the Penguins at Beeghly Center in Youngstown, OH. Get ready to place your bets! The over/under for this Horizon League conference contest is set at 145.5 points, with Youngstown State being favored by -7.5 at home against Northern Kentucky.


The Pick: Northern Kentucky Norse +7.5

This game will be played at Beeghly Center at 1:30 ET on Sunday, January 28th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Penguins.
  • Even though we have Youngstown State winning straight-up, we like Northern Kentucky at +7.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 145.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.

Will the Norse Make it Happen in Youngstown?

As an underdog, Northern Kentucky has a record of 1-9 this season, compared to their 8-1 record as the favorite. They are also 3-8 on the road, compared to 6-2 at home. So far, the Norse are 11-10 overall and 6-4 in Horizon League games.

In their last game, Northern Kentucky lost to Purdue Fort Wayne by a score of 63-58. Over their last 10 road games, the Norse have gone 3-7, and their record on the road this season is -7.1 points per game.

As the underdog this season, Northern Kentucky has gone 5-5 vs. the spread and they are 2-1 ATS in their last 3 road games. Overall, the Norse have an ATS mark of 11-8 this year.

On the season, the over/under record in Northern Kentucky games is 11-8, and today’s line of 145.5 is higher than the average over/under line in Norse games (141.5). So far, 10 of their games have finished with more points than today’s OU line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2, and the average scoring total in their last five games is 139 points.

In their most recent game, the Northern Kentucky offense put up just 58 points vs. the Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons. Overall, they are now averaging 73.6 points per game which is 232nd in the country. For the season, the Northern Kentucky offense has been one of the more efficient shooting teams in the NCAA with a field goal percentage of 46%. So far, they have hit 53% of their looks from inside the arc, and are averaging 5.6 made three’s per contest.

In terms of defense, Northern Kentucky is currently on par with the NCAA average for points allowed, giving up an average of 71.1 points per game. So far, the Northern Kentucky defense is giving up an average of 9.2 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 12.2 times per game (601st).

Will Youngstown State Come Through as Home Favorites?

The Penguins come into this game with a 15-6 record and have won two straight games. Youngstown State is a perfect 6-0 at home this season, and they have gone 9-1 in their last 10 games at home.

So far this season, Youngstown State has been the favorite in 10 of their 21 games, and they have gone 10-0 in those matchups. The Penguins’ average scoring margin at home is +11.7 points per game compared to +3.9 on the road.

Youngstown State has an overall ATS record of 10-6 this season. Their home ATS record is 4-2 and they have gone 7-3 vs. the spread when favored. In their last 10 games as the favorite, the Penguins have an ATS mark of 7-3.

Today’s over/under line of 145.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Youngstown State’s games this season (149.4). This year, the over/under record in their games is 6-9-1. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 144 points and their OU record in their last 10 games is 3-4-1.

The Penguins’ offense finished with 78 points in their previous game, mirroring their current average of 81.7 points per contest. Leading the team in scoring is Ziggy Reid, who is averaging 14 heading into today’s matchup. Additionally, Brandon Rush also maintains a PPG average of 12.7 heading into game.

The Penguins’ defense is presently ranked 104th nationally, allowing an average of 69.3 points per contest. Against IUPUI, the Penguins’ defense gave up 50 points and did a good job not fouling. For the game, IUPUI only made 10 free-throws.