Don’t miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Norse and Raiders. The game is starting at 7:00 ET on ESPN+, and it’s hosted by the Raiders at Nutter Center in Dayton, OH. Get ready to place your bets! The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 158.5 points, and Wright State is favored by -7 to win at home against Northern Kentucky.


The Pick: Northern Kentucky Norse +7

This game will be played at Nutter Center at 7:00 ET on Saturday, March 2nd.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-70 in favor of the Raiders.
  • Even though we have Wright State winning straight-up, we like Northern Kentucky at +7.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 158.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.

No Pressure for Northern Kentucky as Away Dogs

As an underdog this season, Northern Kentucky has gone 3-12. They have a record of 17-13 this season and are currently on a three-game win streak. On the road, the Norse are 5-10 this season.

In their last game, Northern Kentucky beat Robert Morris by a score of 70-60. Over their last 10 games on the road, the Norse have gone 4-6. They are currently on a three-game win streak.

As the underdog this season, Northern Kentucky has gone 8-7 against the spread. On the road, their ATS mark is 8-7 and over their last 10 as the underdog, they are 6-4 vs. the spread. In their last three road games, the Norse are 3-0 ATS.

On the season, the over/under record for Northern Kentucky games is 14-14, and today’s over/under line of 158.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games this year (143.4). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 140 points, and their over/under record in their last 10 games is 3-7.

In their most recent game, the Norse’s offense tallied 70 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 73.6 points per game. The team’s top scorer is Marques Warrick, who comes into today’s matchup with an average of 19.4, while Trey Robinson also maintains a PPG average of 10.5 leading up to the game.

Currently, the Norse’s defense holds the 154th rank in the nation, allowing 71.4 points per game. The Northern Kentucky defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 60 points and allowed Robert Morris to connect on 11 threes.

Can the Raiders Pull Off a Home Win?

Wright State enters this game as the favorite, as they have been in 19 of their 30 games this season. They have gone 12-7 in those games, and they have a record of 17-13 overall. At home, the Raiders are 8-6 this season, and they have gone 6-4 in their last 10 games at home.

Recently, Wright State has won three straight games, and they are coming off a 96-75 win over Oakland. Over their last five home games, the Raiders have gone just 2-3, and their record at home this season is +6.0 points per game.

As the favorite this season, Wright State has gone 9-10 vs. the spread. At home, their ATS mark is 6-8. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Raiders are 5-5 vs. the spread.

Wright State’s over/under record this season is 20-6-1 with an average of 167.9 points per game. Today’s over/under line is set at 158.5. So far, 21 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 165 points.

The Wright State offense is coming off a game in which they scored 96 points vs. Oakland. Overall their field goal percentage was 56.1% while connecting on 9 threes. Alex Huibregtse was the leading scorer for the Raiders, putting up 21 points. In addition, AJ Braun contributed 20 points.

Coming into the game, Wright State will be looking to improve their defense, as they are currently giving up 80.4 points per game (327th). Against Oakland in their most recent game, the Wright State defense gave up a total of 75 points while allowing Oakland to hit 41% of their shots.