Looking to win big? The Norse and Colonials face off at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. The Colonials are hosting the game at UPMC Events Center in Moon Township, PA. In this Horizon League matchup, Northern Kentucky is favored by -2 vs. Robert Morris. The over/under for the game is 144.5 points.


The Pick: Robert Morris Colonials +2

This game will be played at UPMC Events Center at 7:00 ET on Wednesday, February 28th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 74-70 in favor of the Colonials.
  • Not only will Robert Morris pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +2.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 144.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.

Are the Norse Ready for a Road Win?

As the Norse prepare to take on Robert Morris, they find themselves as the road favorite once again. Northern Kentucky has been favored in 12 of their 29 games this season, and they have gone 11-1 in those matchups. On the road, the Norse have gone 4-10, compared to their 10-3 record at home.

After defeating IUPUI 80-64 in their last game, Northern Kentucky has now won two games in a row. Over their last 10 games away from home, the Norse have gone just 3-7, and their average scoring margin on the road this season is -7.7 points per game.

As the favorite this season, Northern Kentucky has gone 6-6 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Norse are 5-5 ATS. On the road, Northern Kentucky has an ATS mark of 7-7 this year and they have gone 2-1 vs. the spread in their last three road contests.

On the season, the over/under record for Northern Kentucky games is 14-13, and today’s line of 144.5 is very close to the average over/under line in their games this year (143.3). Over their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2, and the average scoring total in those games is 145 points.

In their latest game, Northern Kentucky offense put up 80 points against IUPUI. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 50.8% and made 9 threes. LJ Wells led the team in scoring, putting up 20 points. Additionally, Marques Warrick contributed 17 points for the Norse.

So far, the Norse’s defense is ranked 168th in the country at 71.8 points per contest. In their previous game vs. IUPUI, the Jaguars finished with a field goal percentage of 50% and a total of 64 points vs. Northern Kentucky.

Do the Colonials Have What it Takes to Win as Home Underdogs?

Robert Morris has a 10-19 record this season and has lost four games in a row. They are 6-12 in Horizon League play and 4-7 in non-conference games. At home, the Colonials are 5-8 this season and have gone 5-5 in their last ten games.

So far, Robert Morris has been the underdog in 19 of their 29 games. They have gone 2-17 in those games, compared to 6-2 when they have been favored.

At home this season, Robert Morris is 7-6 against the spread. Their overall ATS record is 15-12. As the underdog, the Colonials are 11-8 vs. the spread this year and 5-5 in their last 10 games as the underdog.

Robert Morris has an over/under record of 16-11 this season. In their last three games, their over/under record is 1-2 and the average scoring total in those games is 140 points. On the year, the average scoring total in their games is 150.7 points and today’s over/under line of 144.5 points is lower than the average OU line in their games of 145.2 points. So far, 14 of their games have finished with more points than today’s OU line.

Coming off their recent game, the Robert Morris offense tallied 71 points in a matchup against Cleveland State. Their field goal percentage for the game was 40%, and they made 12 threes. Offensively, the Colonials have a season long field goal percentage of 43%, which is 280th in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 273rd in percentage and 102nd in three-pointers made.

Coming into the game, Robert Morris will be looking to improve their defense, as they are currently giving up 75.7 points per game (260th). In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Robert Morris’ defense has allowed opponents to shoot 45.2% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 33.1% this season.