Planning on watching today’s Norse and Phoenix game? Catch the action at Resch Center in Ashwaubenon, WI, as the Phoenix hosts this showdown at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. The over/under for this game is set at 138.5 points, and Green Bay is favored by -4 vs. Northern Kentucky in a Horizon League conference matchup.


The Pick: Green Bay Phoenix -4

This game will be played at Resch Center at 7:00 ET on Wednesday, February 14th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-69 in favor of the Phoenix.
  • Not only will Green Bay pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -4.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 138.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.

Taking a Look at the Norse Chances on the Road

On the season, Northern Kentucky has a 13-12 record, including an 8-6 mark in Horizon League play. Over the team’s last 10 games, they have gone 5-5. For the year, the Norse have been favored in 10 games, going 9-1 in those matchups.

As the underdog, Northern Kentucky has gone 2-11 this season. Their average scoring margin on the road is -9.0 points per game, and their record away from home is 3-9. In their last game, the Norse beat Detroit by a score of 79-67.

As the underdog this season, Northern Kentucky has a 6-7 record vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Norse have gone 5-5 vs. the spread. On the road, Northern Kentucky has an ATS record of 5-7 this year and they are 4-6 vs. the spread in their last 10 road games.

Today’s over/under line of 138.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Northern Kentucky’s games this year (142.8). So far, 10 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1.

The Norse’s offense wrapped up their last game with 79 points, aligning closely with their current season average of 74.1 points per contest. Marques Warrick was the leading scorer for the Norse, putting up 22 points. In addition, Michael Bradley contributed 16 points.

On the defensive side, Northern Kentucky is currently hovering around the NCAA’s average for points allowed, conceding an average of 72.6 points per game. So far, the Northern Kentucky defense is giving up an average of 9.7 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 12.6 times per game (642nd).

Will Green Bay Live Up to Expectations at Home?

Green Bay comes into this game as the favorite, as they have been in six of their 26 games this season. So far, the Phoenix are 5-1 when favored, and they have won five games in a row.

At home, Green Bay has been dominant, going 8-1 with an average scoring margin of +11.0 points per game. Over their last 10 games at home, they have gone 9-1.

As the favorite, Green Bay has been a solid bet this season, going 5-1 vs. the spread. They have also been excellent vs. the spread at home with an 8-1 record. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Phoenix have gone 8-2 ATS.

Green Bay’s over/under record this season is 12-11-1 and today’s over/under line of 138.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (135.7). So far, 13 of their games have finished with more points than 138.5. The average scoring total in their last three games is 152 points and their over/under record in their last three games is 2-0-1.

Green Bay’s offense is coming off a strong performance vs. Youngstown State, finishing the game with a total of 84 points. Their season average is now 69.7 points per game. Noah Reynolds is currently the leading scorer for the team, entering today’s matchup with an average of 19.8. Meanwhile, Elijah Jones also brings a PPG average of 8.2 into the game.

So far, the Phoenix’s defense is ranked 59th in the country at 67.2 points per contest. In their most recent game, the Green Bay defense struggled to defend the three-point line, as Youngstown State knocked down 9 three-pointers on their way to 83 points.