The Panthers and Salukis are set to face off at 2:00 ET on ESPN+. The Salukis will host the game at Banterra Center in Carbondale, IL. The odds for this Missouri Valley conference game currently have Southern Illinois as the -3 point favorite with the over/under line sitting at 138.5 points.


The Pick: Southern Illinois Salukis -3

This game will be played at Banterra Center at 2:00 ET on Sunday, March 3rd.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-69 in favor of the Salukis.
  • Not only will Southern Illinois pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -3.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 138.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.

Will Northern Iowa Win on the Road?

After their 68-54 win over Valparaiso, Northern Iowa comes into this game with a 17-13 record. So far, they have gone 11-8 in Missouri Valley Conference play, compared to their 6-5 non-conference record.

On the road this season, the Panthers have gone 6-9, and they are currently on a two-game win streak. Over their last 10 games away from home, they have a record of 5-5, and they are 5-8 when listed as the underdog.

As the underdog this season, Northern Iowa has gone 6-7 vs. the spread. On the road, their ATS mark is 6-9 this year and they are 1-2 in their last three road games vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 138.5 is slightly lower than the average over/under line in Northern Iowa’s games this season (143.5). So far, 12 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 147 points.

In contrast to their season average of 73.2 points per game, the Northern Iowa had a below average performance. They scored 68 points against Valparaiso and had a field goal percentage of 45.2%. Offensively, the Panthers hold a season-long field goal percentage of 46%, placing them 125th in the national rankings. When it comes to three-pointers, they are ranked 194th in terms of percentage and 207th in three-pointers made.

Coming into today’s game, the Northern Iowa defense is giving up an average of 70.7 points per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Northern Iowa’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 43.5% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 34.0% this season.

Will Southern Illinois Make it Happen at Home?

After a loss to Bradley, Southern Illinois will look to bounce back as they host Northern Iowa. The Salukis have a 19-11 record this season, including an 11-8 mark in Missouri Valley Conference games. At home, Southern Illinois has gone 12-5 compared to a 6-6 record on the road.

As the favored team, the Salukis have gone 15-2 this season. For the year, they have an average scoring margin of +8.0 points per game at home, and their record over the last 10 games at home is 7-3. So far, Southern Illinois has gone 3-0 in their last three games at home.

As the favorite this season, Southern Illinois has an ATS record of 11-6. At home, their ATS mark is 10-7. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Salukis are 5-5 vs. the spread.

This season, the over/under record for Southern Illinois games is 18-11. So far, the average point total in their games is 139.5, which is higher than the average over/under line of 136.8. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1.

In their latest game, Southern Illinois offense put up 67 points against Bradley. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 45.3% and made 6 threes. Leading the team in scoring is Xavier Johnson, who is averaging 21.9 heading into today’s matchup. Additionally, Trent Brown also maintains a PPG average of 9.1 heading into game.

Southern Illinois’ defense has been playing well, ranking 60th nationally, with 67.2 points allowed per game. In their previous game vs. Bradley, the Braves finished with a field goal percentage of 49% and a total of 86 points vs. Southern Illinois.