Don’t miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Panthers and Racers. The game is starting at 4:00 ET on ESPN+, and it’s hosted by the Racers at CFSB Center in Murray, KY. Get ready to place your bets! This Missouri Valley conference matchup has an over/under of 142.5 points, and the Racers are favored to win at home vs. the Panthers.
NORTHERN IOWA PANTHERS VS MURRAY STATE RACERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Murray State Racers -1.5
This game will be played at CFSB Center at 4:00 ET on Sunday, January 14th.
WHY BET THE MURRAY STATE RACERS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-69 in favor of the Racers.
- Not only will Murray State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -1.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 142.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.
Will Northern Iowa Be The Talk of CFSB Center?
After a 67-59 win over UIC, Northern Iowa is 8-8 on the season and 2-3 in Missouri Valley Conference play. They have gone 6-5 in non-conference games and are 3-5 on the road this season. The Panthers have won two straight road games and are 3-2 in their last five away from home.
So far, Northern Iowa has been the underdog in eight of their 16 games, going 2-6 in those matchups. The Panthers are 5-2 when favored. On the season, their average scoring margin on the road is -0.8, compared to +2.4 at home. For the year, the Panthers have been favored in seven games.
Against the spread, Northern Iowa is 8-7 this season. On the road, their ATS record is 3-5 and their last 10 road ATS mark is 4-6. As the underdog, the Panthers are 3-5 vs. the spread this year and their last 10 underdog ATS record is 4-6. Over their last three road games, Northern Iowa is 2-1 against the spread.
So far this season, the over/under record for Northern Iowa games is 8-7. Today’s over/under line of 142.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games this season (145.8). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 131 points and their OU record over their last 10 games is 5-5.
Compared to their season average of 75.5 points per game, Northern Iowa struggled in their previous game. Against UIC, the Panthers scored 67 points while finishing with a field goal percentage of 49%. The team’s top scorer is Bowen Born, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 14.8, while Nate Heise also carries a PPG average of 13.5 into the game.
On the defensive side, Northern Iowa is currently hovering around the NCAA’s average for points allowed, conceding an average of 72.3 points per game. In their previous game vs. UIC, the Flames finished with a field goal percentage of 49% and a total of 59 points vs. Northern Iowa.
Does Murray State Have What it Takes at Home?
After starting the season with a 1-5 record, Murray State has won six of its last ten games, including a 77-53 blowout victory over Missouri State. On the year, the Racers are 7-9, but they have been much better in the Missouri Valley Conference, going 4-1.
At home, Murray State is 4-4 this season, and over their last ten games at home, they are 6-4. As the favorite, the Racers are 3-4, and they have been the favorite in seven of their 16 games.
As the favorite this season, Murray State has an ATS record of just 2-5. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Racers have gone just 4-6 vs. the spread, and they are 4-5 ATS in their last 10 home games.
Today’s over/under line of 142.5 is similar to the average over/under line in Murray State’s games this year (143.1). So far, their over/under record is 8-7. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 142 points, and their OU record over their last 10 games is 4-6.
The Racers’ offense finished with 77 points in their previous game, mirroring their current average of 73.3 points per contest. On the offensive front, the Racers have a season-long field goal percentage of 44%, ranking 230th nationally. When it comes to three-point shooting, they are ranked 238th in terms of percentage and 209th in three-pointers made.
Coming into today’s game, the Murray State defense is giving up an average of 70.2 points per contest. The Murray State defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 53 points and allowed Missouri State to connect on 8 threes.