The Huskies and Rockets are set to face off at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. The Rockets will host the game at Savage Arena in Toledo, OH. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 156 points, and Toledo is favored by -14.5 to win at home against Northern Illinois.


The Pick: Northern Illinois Huskies +14.5

This game will be played at Savage Arena at 7:00 ET on Tuesday, February 27th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-70 in favor of the Rockets.
  • Even though we have Toledo winning straight-up, we like Northern Illinois at +14.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 156 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.

Do the Huskies Stand a Chance on the Road?

With a 9-18 overall record, the Northern Illinois Huskies have struggled this season, and their 3-11 record in Mid-American Conference play is a big reason why. They have lost three straight games, including their most recent contest against Ohio, where they fell 80-59. On the road, the Huskies have gone 3-10 this season, and they are currently on a two-game losing streak away from home.

As an underdog, Northern Illinois has gone 4-16 this season, and they enter this game as 14.5-point underdogs. So far, they have been the underdog in 20 of their 27 games. Their average scoring margin on the road this season is -10.6 points per game.

As the underdog, Northern Illinois has struggled vs. the spread this season, going just 5-15. Their overall ATS mark is 7-18. On the road, the Huskies are 4-9 vs. the spread this year and just 1-9 in their last 10 road games vs. the spread.

On the season, the over/under record for Northern Illinois sits at 12-13, and the average scoring total in their games is 151.5 points. Today’s over/under line of 156 is higher than the average over/under line in their games this year (151.4). Over their last three games, the over/under record is 0-3 with an average scoring total of 134 points.

Against Ohio, the Northern Illinois had a tough time putting up points compared to their season average of 73.3 points per game. They scored 59 points and posted a field goal percentage of 41.5% in the game. Leading the team in scoring is David Coit, who is averaging 19.6 heading into today’s matchup. Additionally, Xavier Amos also maintains a PPG average of 13.8 heading into game.

Facing Toledo, Northern Illinois aims for a better defensive performance, given their current average of 78.1 points allowed per game (299th). In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Northern Illinois’ defense has allowed opponents to shoot 43.7% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 34.2% this season.

Do the Rockets Have What it Takes to Win as Home Favorites?

At home, Toledo has been nearly unbeatable, going 11-4 on the season. They have won seven straight games at home and are 9-1 in their last 10 games at home. Overall, the Rockets are 17-10 this season.

Toledo is 13-4 this season when favored, and they have been favored in 17 of their 27 games. On the other hand, they are just 4-6 when they are the underdog.

As the favorite this season, Toledo has gone 7-10 against the spread. In their last three games as the favorite, the Rockets have gone 1-2 vs. the spread. At home, Toledo is 7-8 vs. the spread this year and they have gone 4-6 in their last 10 games as the favorite.

On the season, the over/under record for Toledo games is 14-13. So far, 13 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line of 156. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 with an average scoring total of 149 points.

The Toledo offense is coming off a game where they scored 68 points against Bowling Green. They posted a field goal percentage of 41.8% and connected on 9 threes. The team’s scoring leader is Ra’Heim Moss, who holds an average of 16.4 as they head into today’s matchup. Additionally, Dante Maddox Jr. is averaging 15.6 points per game this season.

Looking at the Toledo defense, they will be looking for a better performance considering they are currently conceding 77.1 points per game (283rd). The Toledo defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 76 points and allowed Bowling Green to connect on 4 threes.