Betting on today’s Bears and Hornets game? Catch the action at The Hornets Nest in Sacramento, CA, as the Hornets hosts this showdown at 5:00 ET on ESPN+. Northern Colorado is favored by -6 in this Big Sky conference contest against Sacramento State. The game’s over/under currently sits at 137.5 points.


The Pick: Sacramento State Hornets +6

This game will be played at The Hornets Nest at 5:00 ET on Saturday, February 17th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-68 in favor of the Hornets.
  • Not only will Sacramento State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +6.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 137.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 143 points.

Can the Bears Lock in a Road Win?

Through 25 games, Northern Colorado has a record of 15-10. In Big Sky play, they have gone 8-4 compared to 7-6 in non-conference action.

On the road, the Bears are 5-7 this season, and over their last 10 games away from home, they have gone 4-6. They come into this game off a loss to Portland State, 82-72.

On the season, Northern Colorado has gone 10-12-1 against the spread. Their ATS mark on the road is 7-5 and they have gone 6-4 in their last 10 road games vs. the spread. As the favorite, the Bears have a record of 4-9-1 vs. the spread this year and they have gone just 1-4 in their last 5 games as the favorite.

The over/under record for Northern Colorado games this season is 15-7-1. Today’s line of 137.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (151.7). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 151 points and their OU record during this span is 1-1-1. On the season, 23 of their games have finished with more points than today’s over/under line.

In their recent matchup, the Northern Colorado offense ended with 72 points against Portland State. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 37.2% and made 8 threes. Dejour Reaves led the team in scoring, putting up 27 points. Additionally, Saint Thomas contributed 14 points for the Bears.

At this time, the Bears’ defense is positioned 296th in the country, permitting 77.9 points per game. In their most recent game, the Northern Colorado defense struggled to defend the three-point line, as Portland State knocked down 11 three-pointers on their way to 82 points.

Can the Hornets Pull the Upset at Home?

After losing their last game to Northern Arizona by a score of 73-58, Sacramento State will look to snap a nine-game losing streak. On the season, the Hornets have gone 6-20, including a 2-11 mark in Big Sky play.

At home, Sacramento State has gone just 3-8 compared to their 1-12 record on the road. Over their last ten games at home, the Hornets have gone 4-6. As the underdog, they have gone just 2-14 this season.

As the underdog, Sacramento State has gone 6-9-1 against the spread this season and is just 1-6-1 vs. the spread as the favorite. At home, the Hornets are 3-7-1 vs. the spread this year and have a 1-3-1 ATS mark in their last five home games.

So far this season, the over/under record for Sacramento State games is 9-15. Today’s over/under line of 137.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (138). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is just 116 points.

In their most recent game, the Sacramento State offense concluded with only 58 points against Northern Arizona. Throughout the game, they made 1/10 three-point attempts and had a field goal percentage of 38.6%. Leading the team in scoring was Duncan Powell with 20 points. Jacob Holt also added 13 points for the Hornets.

Currently, the Hornets’ defense holds the 120th rank in the nation, allowing 70.2 points per game. The Sacramento State defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 73 points and allowed Northern Arizona to connect on 1 threes.