Looking to win big? The Bears and Grizzlies face off at 9:00 ET on ESPN+. The Grizzlies are hosting the game at Dahlberg Arena in Missoula, MT. The over/under for this game is set at 156.5 points, and the Grizzlies are the home favorites against the Bears in a Big Sky conference matchup.
NORTHERN COLORADO BEARS VS MONTANA GRIZZLIES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Montana Grizzlies -7
This game will be played at Dahlberg Arena at 9:00 ET on Thursday, January 11th.
WHY BET THE MONTANA GRIZZLIES:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-68 in favor of the Grizzlies.
- Not only will Montana pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -7.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 156.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.
Does Northern Colorado Have a Shot at a Road Win?
After winning their last game against Denver by a score of 86-82, the Northern Colorado Bears come into this matchup with an 8-6 overall record. They have won four straight games and are 1-0 in Big Sky Conference play.
So far, the Bears have gone 7-6 in non-conference games compared to their 1-0 record in the Big Sky. On the road, they are 3-4 this season, and their average scoring margin on the road is -2.3 points per game.
Against the spread, Northern Colorado has gone 5-6-1 this season. On the road, they are 4-3 vs. the spread and have gone 2-1 ATS in their last three road games. As the underdog, they have gone 4-3 vs. the spread this year and are 2-1 ATS in their last three games as the underdog.
Today’s over/under line of 156.5 is higher than the average over/under line in Northern Colorado’s games this season (149.6). So far, their over/under record is 9-3. In their last three games, the average scoring total is 173 points and their over/under record is 3-0.
Northern Colorado recently showcased a strong offensive performance, scoring 86 points against Denver. This output exceeded their season average of 80.1 points per game. Offensively, the Bears have a season long field goal percentage of 47%, which is 73rd in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 91st in percentage and 87th in three-pointers made.
Coming into the game, Northern Colorado will be looking to improve their defense, as they are currently giving up 78.1 points per game (277th). In their most recent game, the Northern Colorado defense struggled to defend the three-point line, as Denver knocked down 9 three-pointers on their way to 82 points.
Can the Grizzlies Live Up to the Hype at Home?
Montana enters tonight’s game as a 7-point favorite against Northern Colorado. So far this season, the Grizzlies have gone 5-1 when favored, and they are 3-1 at home.
Over their last three games at home, Montana has gone 3-0, and they are 8-2 in their last 10 games at home.
As the favorite this season, Montana has an ATS record of 5-1. In their last three games at home, the Grizzlies are 1-0 vs. the spread and 4-3 in their last 10 home games. Overall, Montana’s ATS record this year is 9-3.
This season, the over/under record in Montana games is 6-6. The average scoring total in their games this year is 145.6 points, which is 5.7 points lower than the average over/under line of 139.9. So far, 10 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s over/under line of 156.5. Over their last three games, their over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total in those games is 156 points.
Montana’s offense had a good outing, putting up 82 points against South Dakota. They achieved a 52.5% field goal percentage and went 7/13 from the free-throw line. Leading the team in scoring was Dischon Thomas with 19 points. Josh Vazquez also added 17 points for the Grizzlies.
So far, the Grizzlies’ defense is ranked 151st in the country at 71.4 points per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Montana’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 36.8% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 29.9% this season.