The Lumberjacks and Vandals are set to face off at 9:00 ET on ESPN+. The Vandals will host the game at ICCU Arena in Moscow, ID. This Big Sky conference matchup has an over/under of 140.5 points, and Idaho is favored to win by -3 at home vs. Northern Arizona.


The Pick: Idaho Vandals -3

This game will be played at ICCU Arena at 9:00 ET on Thursday, January 25th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-68 in favor of the Vandals.
  • Not only will Idaho pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -3.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 140.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.

Will the Lumberjacks Come Through as Road Underdogs?

After winning their last two games, Northern Arizona has improved their record to 9-10. However, their record on the road is just 4-10, compared to 5-0 at home. This season, they have been the underdog in 13 of their 19 games, going 3-10 in those matchups.

Coming off a 70-61 win over Sacramento State, the Lumberjacks will be looking to snap a five-game losing streak on the road. So far, they are 3-7 in their last 10 games away from home.

On the season, Northern Arizona is 8-11 against the spread and they are 5-9 vs. the number on the road. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Lumberjacks are 4-6 vs. the spread.

On the season, the over/under record for Northern Arizona games is 7-12. So far, the average scoring total in their games is 141.8 points compared to an average over/under line of 144.8 points, resulting in an average margin of -3. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 139 points and their OU record during this stretch is 1-2.

In their recent game, the Lumberjacks’ offense concluded with 70 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 65.8 points per contest. On the offensive front, the Lumberjacks have a season-long field goal percentage of 42%, ranking 347th nationally. When it comes to three-point shooting, they are ranked 362nd in terms of percentage and 283rd in three-pointers made.

Currently, the Lumberjacks’ defense holds the 242nd rank in the nation, allowing 76.1 points per game. Against Sacramento State in their most recent game, the Northern Arizona defense gave up a total of 61 points while allowing Sacramento State to hit 37% of their shots.

Can the Idaho Offense Score Enough at Home?

Idaho enters this game as the favorite, and they have gone 3-0 in their three games as the favorite this season. They have struggled recently, though, as they have lost five straight games and are just 7-11 overall.

At home, the Vandals are 3-5 this season, and they have gone 5-5 in their last 10 games at home. Their average scoring margin at home is +1.1 points per game.

As the favorite this season, Idaho has gone 2-0-1 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Vandals are 5-4-1 ATS. At home, Idaho has an ATS mark of 3-4-1 this year and they are 0-3 ATS over their last 3 home games.

Today’s over/under line of 140.5 is the same as the average over/under line in Idaho’s games this season. Their over/under record this year is 8-7-1. So far, 10 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2.

The Idaho offense is coming off a game where they scored 65 points against Weber State. They posted a field goal percentage of 49% and connected on 5 threes. On the offensive front, the Vandals have a season-long field goal percentage of 43%, ranking 296th nationally. When it comes to three-point shooting, they are ranked 265th in terms of percentage and 145th in three-pointers made.

The Vandals’ defense is presently ranked 128th nationally, allowing an average of 70.7 points per contest. The Idaho defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 88 points and allowed Weber State to connect on 10 threes.