Don’t miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Lumberjacks and Bengals. The game is starting at 9:00 ET on ESPN+, and it’s hosted by the Bengals at Holt Arena in Pocatello, ID. Get ready to place your bets! The over/under for this Big Sky conference contest is set at 140 points, with Idaho State being favored by -8 at home against Northern Arizona.


The Pick: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks +8

This game will be played at Holt Arena at 9:00 ET on Thursday, February 29th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Bengals.
  • Even though we have Idaho State winning straight-up, we like Northern Arizona at +8.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 140 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.

Will the Lumberjacks Defense Show Up in Pocatello?

Today, the Northern Arizona Lumberjacks will be on the road as they take on the Idaho State Bengals. So far this season, the Lumberjacks have a record of 13-16, including a 6-9 mark in Big Sky Conference games. On the road, Northern Arizona is 6-12 compared to 7-4 at home.

As the underdog, the Lumberjacks have a record of 7-14, and they are 3-7 in their last 10 games away from home. In their most recent game, Northern Arizona lost to Idaho by a score of 86-76.

As the underdog, Northern Arizona has gone 10-11 vs. the spread this season and 13-16 overall. On the road, the Lumberjacks are 7-11 ATS and have gone 2-8 vs. the spread in their last 10 road games.

Over their last three games, the over/under record for Northern Arizona is 2-1. On the season, their over/under record is 13-15-1. For the year, their games have averaged 144.4 points per game, which is the same as the average over/under line in their games. So far, 19 of their games have finished with more points than today’s over/under line of 140.

The Northern Arizona offense is coming off a game where they scored 76 points against Idaho. They posted a field goal percentage of 38.7% and connected on 3 threes. Trenton McLaughlin is the current leading scorer for the team, with an average of 16.6 as they approach today’s matchup. In addition, Carson Basham brings a PPG average of 11.9 into the game.

Coming into today’s game, the Northern Arizona defense is giving up an average of 76.1 points per contest. In today’s game, the Northern Arizona defense will be looking to once again do a good job defending the three-point line, as they gave up just 3 three-pointers while giving up 86 points.

Pressure Builds for Idaho State as Home Favorites

Idaho State is 5-2 when favored this season, and they have won three straight home games. The Bengals’ average scoring margin at home this season is +3.7 points per game.

Overall, Idaho State is 12-16 this season, including a 7-8 mark in Big Sky Conference action. Their record at home is 6-3, compared to a 4-13 record on the road.

As the favorite this season, Idaho State has gone just 2-5 vs. the spread. At home, their ATS mark is 3-6. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Bengals have gone just 3-7 vs. the spread.

Idaho State’s over/under record this season is 15-9-2, and today’s line of 140 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (135.9). So far, 13 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1.

Idaho State’s offense is coming off a strong performance vs. Weber State, finishing the game with a total of 80 points. Their season average is now 69.9 points per game. The top scorer for the Bengals was Miguel Tomley with 26 points, while Brayden Parker also chipped in with 25 points.

So far, the Bengals’ defense is ranked 93rd in the country at 68.7 points per contest. Idaho State’s three-point defense is currently 16th in the country at 5.1 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 45.0% of their shots vs. Idaho State.