North Texas at Louisiana Tech College Football Betting Pick 11/9/19

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Last Updated: 2019-11-05

The North Texas Mean Green (+5) are flying east to face their conference rival Louisiana Tech Bulldogs at Joe Aillet Stadium. The Saturday daytime matchup is scheduled to start at 4:00 p.m. ET and fans can catch the action by tuning in to FCBK.

North Texas vs. Louisiana Tech Betting Odds 11/9/2019

Louisiana Tech is giving up 5 points in this CUSA game. The Mean Green are currently being given +180 moneyline odds while the Bulldogs are -220. This CUSA game should offer multiple live betting opportunities. The over/under is set at 68 points.

The sharp action is siding with the Mean Green, as the line opened at -6. The O/U has not changed after it was set initially at 68.

The Mean Green are 4-5 straight up (SU), including 3-2 SU against conference opponents. The Bulldogs are 7-1 SU overall and 4-0 SU in conference play. The disappointing Mean Green have lost 6.2 units this season and are 3-6 against the spread (ATS). The team has recorded an O/U mark of 7-2.

The surprising Bulldogs are up 4.3 units this year. The team is 5-3 ATS and the over’s hit in five of its games.

The Mean Green are coming off a resounding 52-26 win over UTEP last week. Mason Fine completed 24 passes for 332 yards and seven touchdowns. Tre Siggers (82 yards on 22 rush attempts) led the ground attack in the win while Jaelon Darden (six receptions, 60 yards, three TDs) and Michael Lawrence (six catches, 87 yards) handled the receiving duties.

Louisiana Tech just earned a 42-21 win over UTEP a couple of weeks ago. The let the Miners pass for 227 yards and rush for 98 more. Jacob Cowing had a productive outing in the loss, posting 70 yards on two catches for UTEP. For Louisiana Tech, J’mar Smith completed 29-of-35 passes for 338 yards and three touchdowns. Justin Henderson (65 rushing yards on 17 attempts, two TDs) and Israel Tucker (56 yards on eight carries, one TD) mounted the ground game in the win while Cee Jay Powell (six receptions, 85 yards) and Henderson (six catches, 73 yards) led the pass-catching attack.

North Texas has run the ball on 46.9 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Louisiana Tech has a rush percentage of 49.7 percent. The Mean Green have produced 161 rush yards/game (including 167 per game against Conference USA opponents) and have seven touchdowns via handoffs this year. The Bulldogs are logging 177 rush yards per contest (166 in conference) and have 19 total rushing TDs.

It seems like the Bulldogs could hold an edge when it comes to RB effectiveness. Their running backs has generated 5.1 yards per carry while their defense has allowed 3.7 YPC to opponents. The Mean Green have recorded 4.7 yards per carry while allowing a YPC of 4.9 to opponents.

The Mean Green have logged 301 yards/game through the air overall (314 per game against conference opposition) and have 30 passing TDs so far. The Bulldogs have recorded 294 pass yards per outing (290.8 against CUSA foes) and have 14 total pass scores.

Defensively, North Texas appears to have the upper hand when it comes to limiting the pass. The team has let opponents rush for an average of 186 yards and pass for 231 yards per game. Louisiana Tech has allowed 143.0 yards per game on the ground and 253.5 to opposing teams in the air. The Bulldogs are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 5.54 to opponents, while the Mean Green have given up a 6.64 ANY/A.

Fine has put up 2,217 passing yards this year. He’s completed 184-of-295 attempts with 22 passing touchdowns and only six interceptions. Fine has a 7.52 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 11.69 over the past two games.

In the home locker room, J’mar Smith has tallied 1,895 yards, 12 TDs and two INTs. Smith’s ANY/A stands at 7.63 for the season and 11.49 over his last two games.

When these two schools met last year, Louisiana Tech earned the win 29-27.

North Texas Mean Green at Louisiana Tech Bulldogs Free Prediction

SU Winner – North Texas, ATS Winner – North Texas, O/U – Under

Notes

Team Betting Notes

The Louisiana Tech offense has lost five fumbles this season while North Texas has lost four.

The North Texas defense has sacked opposing quarterbacks 21 times this year. Louisiana Tech has produced 16 sacks.

As a team, North Texas has rushed for 4.2 yards per attempt over its past three games and 4.3 over its last two.

Louisiana Tech has averaged 6.1 yards per carry over its last three contests and 4.1 over its past two.

In its last three matches, Louisiana Tech is 3-0 ATS and the over cashed in each of those three.

The Over/Under for North Texas’ previous game going into it was 58. The over cashed in the team’s 52-26 win over UTEP.

In its last three contests, North Texas is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in each of those three.

The Over/Under for Louisiana Tech’s last matchup was set at 51. The over cashed in the team’s 42-21 victory over UTEP.

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