North Carolina vs. Wake Forest Free Pick 9/13/19

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Last Updated: 2019-09-10

The North Carolina Tar Heels (+3) aren’t traveling far to take on the Wake Forest Demon Deacons at BB&T Field. This ACC game is scheduled to get underway at 6:00 p.m. ET and fans can catch the action by tuning in to ESPN.

North Carolina at Wake Forest Betting Odds 9/13/2019

Wake Forest is favored by 3 points in this ACC matchup. The Tar Heels are currently getting +120 moneyline odds while the Demon Deacons are -140. This ACC matchup should offer several live betting opportunities. The over/under has been set at 66 points.

With the game’s over/under originally set at 62.5, sharp bettors have been siding with the over.

The Tar Heels are 2-0 straight up (SU), including 1-0 SU against ACC opponents. The Demon Deacons are 2-0 SU overall and 0-0 SU in conference play. Both of these teams have rewarded gamblers this year as the Tar Heels have gained 5.0 units and the Demon Deacons are up 2.0 units.

These two conference adversaries did not get a chance to face each other a year ago.

The Heels are hoping to remain undefeated following a 28-25 win over Miami (FL) last week. Sam Howell completed 16 passes for 274 yards and two touchdowns. Dyami Brown (four receptions, 80 yards, one TD) and Rontavius Groves (three catches, 41 yards) handled the receiving duties in the win.

Wake Forest just got a 41-21 win over Rice. Jamie Newman completed 21-of-27 passes for 312 yards and three touchdowns. Christian Beal-Smith (30 yards on 10 rush attempts, one TD) and Kenneth Walker III (125 yards on nine carries, one TD) mounted the running game as Scotty Washington (seven receptions, 158 yards, two TDs) and Sage Surratt (six catches, 45 yards, one TD) led the pass-catching corps in the win.

North Carolina has run the ball on 64.2 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Wake Forest has an overall rush percentage of 55.7 percent. The Tar Heels have produced 168 rush yards/game and have one touchdown on the ground this year. The Deacs are logging 190 rush yards per contest and have four total rushing TDs.

If the numbers so far this season can translate to this game, then the Deacs could own an edge in terms of efficiency in the ground game. Their backfield has generated 4.1 yards per carry while the defense has allowed a YPC of 3.6 to opponents. The Tar Heels have registered 3.8 yards per carry while allowing a YPC of 4.5 to opponents.

The Heels have tallied 269 yards per contest through the air overall and have four passing TD so far. The Deacs have produced an astonishing 357 pass yards per outing and have six total pass scores.

On the defensive side of the ball, North Carolina appears to have the upper hand when it comes to limiting the pass. The team has allowed 154 rush yards and 226 pass yards per game. Wake Forest has allowed 123.5 yards per game on the ground and 335 to opposing teams in the air. The Heels are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 5.03 to opponents, while the Deacs have given up a 6.66 ANY/A.

Newman has produced 312 yards, three TDs and zero INTs. Newman’s adjusted net yards per pass attempt sits at 13.78 for the year and 10.57 across his past two games. In the other huddle, Howell has put up 274 passing yards this year, and has connected on 16-of-24 attempts with two passing touchdowns and has yet to throw an interception. Howell has a 10.36 ANY/A, including 10.02 over the last two games.

North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons NCAA Pick

SU Winner – Wake Forest, ATS Winner – Wake Forest, O/U – Under


Betting Notes

Each team has lost one fumble this season.

The Tar Heels offense has registered one pass play of 40 or more yards, while the Demon Deacons have accounted for two such plays.

The North Carolina defense has yet to allow a passing play of 40 yards or more, while Wake Forest has given up two such plays.

The North Carolina offense has created six rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Wake Forest has created three such runs.

The Tar Heels defense has allowed four rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Demon Deacons have given up two such runs.

The North Carolina defensive unit has seven sacks on the year while Wake Forest has five.

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