Betting on today’s Tar Heels and Cavaliers game? Catch the action at John Paul Jones Arena in Charlottesville, VA, as the Cavaliers hosts this showdown at 4:00 ET on ESPN. North Carolina is favored by -3 in this Atlantic Coast conference showdown. The game’s over/under is currently at 130 points.


The Pick: Virginia Cavaliers +3

This game will be played at John Paul Jones Arena at 4:00 ET on Saturday, February 24th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 74-68 in favor of the Cavaliers.
  • Not only will Virginia pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +3.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 130 points, and we like the over with a projected 142 points.

Does North Carolina Stand a Chance on the Road?

North Carolina is favored by 3 points today against Virginia. So far this season, the Tar Heels have been favored in 24 of their 26 games, going 19-5 in those contests.

On the road, North Carolina is 7-4 this season, and they have gone 7-3 in their last 10 games away from home.

North Carolina has a 15-11 record against the spread this season and are 6-5 vs. the spread on the road. Over their last 3 road games, the Tar Heels are 0-3 vs. the spread and have gone 2-3 vs. the spread in their last 5 road contests.

North Carolina’s over/under record this season is 14-12, and today’s over/under line of 130 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (154). So far, 22 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 162 points.

Coming off a good offensive performance, North Carolina’s offense scored 96 points against Virginia Tech. Their field goal percentage for the game was 51.5%, and they went 19/23 from the free-throw line. The team’s top scorer is RJ Davis, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 21.3, while Armando Bacot also carries a PPG average of 14.6 into the game.

On defense, North Carolina is currently around the NCAA average in points allowed, giving up an average of 71.4 points per game. In today’s game vs. Virginia, the North Carolina defense will be looking to do a better job avoiding putting opponents on the line. In their last game, North Carolina made 19 free-throws vs. the Tar Heels.

Will the Cavaliers Win at Home?

Virginia will be looking to bounce back from a 75-41 loss to Virginia Tech. The Cavaliers are 20-7 overall, including an 11-5 record in Atlantic Coast Conference play. They are 16-1 at home this season, and their average scoring margin at home is +15.1 points per game.

As the underdog, Virginia is 2-4 this season. Overall, the Cavaliers have been the underdog in six games. They have been favored in 21 games and have gone 18-3 in those contests.

As the underdog, Virginia has gone just 2-4 vs. the spread this season. At home, their ATS record is 10-6-1, but they have gone just 5-4-1 in their last 10 games as the home team.

Today’s over/under line of 130 is higher than the average over/under line in Virginia’s games this season (126.9). So far, 15 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 and the average scoring total is 116 points.

In their most recent game, the Virginia offense put up just 41 points vs. the Virginia Tech Hokies. Overall, they are now averaging 64.1 points per game which is 449th in the country. Offensively, the Cavaliers have a season long field goal percentage of 44%, which is 232nd in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 127th in percentage and 285th in three-pointers made.

Virginia’s defense has been playing well, ranking 3rd nationally, with 58.6 points allowed per game. The Virginia defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 75 points and allowed Virginia Tech to connect on 8 threes.