Planning on watching today’s Tar Heels and Wolfpack game? Catch the action at PNC Arena in Raleigh, NC, as the Wolfpack hosts this showdown at 8:00 ET on ESPN. The Tar Heels are the favorites in this Atlantic Coast conference matchup the against the Wolfpack. The over/under for the game is set at 154 points.


The Pick: North Carolina State Wolfpack +3.5

This game will be played at PNC Arena at 8:00 ET on Wednesday, January 10th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 74-68 in favor of the Wolfpack.
  • Not only will North Carolina State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +3.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 154 points, and we like the under with a projected 142 points.

Will North Carolina Secure A Victory as Road Favorites?

North Carolina is 11-3 overall and 3-0 in ACC play. The Tar Heels are favored by 3.5 points against North Carolina State. So far, North Carolina has been favored in 12 of its 14 games, going 10-2 in those contests.

On the road, the Tar Heels are 3-2 this season, and they have a +4.0 average scoring margin. Their road win streak is at three games, and they are 5-5 in their last 10 games away from home.

North Carolina has an ATS record of 8-6 this season and they are 7-5 vs. the spread when favored. On the road, the Tar Heels have gone 3-2 vs. the spread this year and they have an ATS mark of 4-6 in their last 10 road games.

North Carolina’s over/under record for the season sits at 8-6 and today’s line of 154 is right in line with the average over/under line in their games (153). So far, the average scoring total in their games is 154.4, which is nearly identical to today’s line. Over their last three games, the OU record is 1-2 with an average scoring total of 137 points.

North Carolina offense recently wrapped up a game with a total of 65 points against Clemson. In that game, they made 8/23 three-point attempts and achieved a field goal percentage of 41.7%. In terms of offense, the Tar Heels have a season-long field goal percentage of 45%, putting them 172nd in the NCAA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 116th in percentage and 157th in three-pointers made.

At present, the Tar Heels’ defense is nationally ranked 137th, allowing 70.8 points per game. So far, the North Carolina defense is giving up an average of 7.4 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 9.8 times per game (378th).

Will the Wolfpack Win at PNC Arena?

North Carolina State is 11-3 overall and 3-0 in Atlantic Coast Conference play. They have won four straight games, including their most recent contest against Virginia by a score of 76-60. The Wolfpack has been perfect at home this season, going 8-0.

So far, North Carolina State has been the underdog in four games, going 1-3 in those contests. They have been the underdog in just four of their 14 games this season.

North Carolina State has an ATS record of 7-7 this season and they are 5-3 against the spread at home. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Wolfpack have gone 4-6 vs. the spread.

So far this season, the over/under record in North Carolina State games is 8-5-1. The average scoring total in their games this season is 145.9 points, which is very similar to the average over/under line in their games of 145.6 points. On the year, the average margin between the actual scoring total and the over/under line is 0.2 points. Today’s over/under line of 154 is higher than the average scoring total in their games this season and higher than the average over/under line in their games. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 130 points.

In their recent game, the Wolfpack’s offense concluded with 76 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 77.7 points per contest. DJ Horne is leading the team in scoring at 14.4 points per contest. Jayden Taylor has also been a key contributor with a PPG average of 13.1 going into the game.

The Wolfpack’s defense is presently ranked 94th nationally, allowing an average of 68.1 points per contest. Against Virginia in their most recent game, the North Carolina State defense gave up a total of 60 points while allowing Virginia to hit 49% of their shots.