Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Tar Heels versus the Hurricanes? Tip off is at at 4:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on ESPN. The game will be played at Watsco Center in Coral Gables, FL. North Carolina come into this Atlantic Coast conference matchup as the -3.5 favorite. The over/under line currently sits at 158 points.

NORTH CAROLINA TAR HEELS VS MIAMI (FL) HURRICANES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Miami (FL) Hurricanes +3.5

This game will be played at Watsco Center at 4:00 ET on Saturday, February 10th.

WHY BET THE MIAMI (FL) HURRICANES:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 74-68 in favor of the Hurricanes.
  • Not only will Miami (FL) pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +3.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 158 points, and we like the under with a projected 142 points.

Will North Carolina Shock Everyone at Watsco Center?

North Carolina will look to bounce back from a tough four-point loss to Clemson in their last game. The Tar Heels are 18-5 overall, including a 10-2 record in Atlantic Coast Conference play. They are 6-3 on the road this season, and their average scoring margin away from home is +5.4 points per game. So far, North Carolina has been favored in 21 of their 23 games, going 17-4 in those contests.

For the season, the Tar Heels have a scoring margin of +11.4 points per game, compared to +16.9 at home. Their record at home is 12-2, and they have gone 8-3 in non-conference games. Over their last 10 games on the road, North Carolina is 6-4, and they are 4-1 in their last five road games.

When looking at North Carolina’s ATS record this season, they have gone 14-9. In games where they have been the favorite, the Tar Heels have gone 13-8 vs. the spread. On the road, their ATS mark is 6-3 this year and over their last 10 road games, they are 6-4 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 158 is higher than the average over/under line in North Carolina’s games this season (153.7). In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total is 159 points.

The North Carolina offense is coming off a game where they scored 76 points against Clemson. They posted a field goal percentage of 36.9% and connected on 9 threes. Armando Bacot led the scoring for the Tar Heels, contributing 24 points. Additionally, RJ Davis chipped in with 22 points.

So far, the Tar Heels’ defense is ranked 129th in the country at 70.3 points per contest. In their most recent game, the North Carolina defense struggled to defend the three-point line, as Clemson knocked down 9 three-pointers on their way to 80 points.

Will the Miami (FL) Defense Show Up at Home?

At home this season, Miami has gone 13-2, and they come into this game on a two-game winning streak at home. Overall, they have an average scoring margin of +15.7 points per game at home. So far, the Hurricanes have been the underdog in seven games, going 2-5 in those contests.

Across their last 10 games at home, Miami has gone 8-2, and they are 15-8 overall this season. In their most recent game, the Hurricanes lost to Virginia by a score of 60-38. This year, they have gone 6-6 in Atlantic Coast Conference play and 9-2 in non-conference games.

Against the spread, Miami has a record of 12-9-2 this season. At home, their ATS mark is 9-5-1. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Hurricanes are 5-4-1 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 158 is higher than the average over/under line in Miami’s games this season (153). So far, 14 of their games have finished with more points than 158. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 with an average scoring total of 131 points.

Most recently, the Miami (FL) offense finished with just 38 points vs. Virginia. For the game, they hit 2/20 three-point attempts and a field goal percentage of 28.6%. Norchad Omier led the team in scoring, putting up 11 points. Additionally, Wooga Poplar contributed 8 points for the Hurricanes.

On the defensive side, Miami (FL) is currently hovering around the NCAA’s average for points allowed, conceding an average of 71.7 points per game. The Miami (FL) defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 60 points and allowed Virginia to connect on 5 threes.