North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Florida State Seminoles ATS Prediction 01/03/18

 
Wednesday, 01/03/2018 at 07:00 pm N CAROLINA (12-3) at FLORIDA ST (12-2)
Expanded Matchup Game Center Bet Now Results Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics
Teams Line PF PA SU ATS O/U/P FG% FT% 3PT% FG% FT% 3PT%
737N CAROLINA 165 84.9 72.3 12-3 8-5-1 7-6-1 46.7% 71.7% 38.9% 40.9% 68.3% 37.4%
738FLORIDA ST -1 85.4 68.4 12-2 8-2-2 6-6-0 49.5% 66.5% 38.6% 38.1% 71.9% 29.4%

Last Updated: 2018-01-03

It will be a showdown between two outstanding offenses when the 24th-ranked Florida State Seminoles (9-2, 0-1 ACC), 1.5-point favorites, take on the 12th-ranked North Carolina Tar Heels (12-2, 1-0 ACC) at Donald L. Tucker Center. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 162.5 points and it will air on ESPN2 at 7 p.m. ET on Wednesday, January 3, 2018.

North Carolina Tar Heels at Florida State Seminoles Betting Odds

In their last outing, the Seminoles fell to the fourth-ranked Duke Blue Devils, 100-93, while the Tar Heels defeated the Wake Forest Demon Deacons, 73-69.

The Tar Heels held the Demon Deacons to an offensive rebounding percentage of 10.3 (below their season average of 33.9). The Demon Deacons had a free throw rate of 0.127 (below their season average of 0.316). Florida State, meanwhile, did an excellent job of converting from the charity stripe (16-22; 72.7 percent). Florida State was led by Braian Angola-Rodas, who contributed 23 points and eight rebounds. Luke Maye played a key role for North Carolina with 17 points and 15 rebounds.

This meeting figures to be a high-scoring affair as a pair of the nation’s premier offenses square off. Florida State ranks 27th with 117.1 points per 100 possessions and North Carolina is 60th (113.1). Furthermore, the Tar Heels rank 33rd in offensive rebounding percentage (35.7 percent), while the Seminoles rank 315th in defensive rebounding percentage (66.2 percent).

Of the Tar Heels’ 13 games with betting action, seven have finished over the total. North Carolina holds records of 12-2 straight up (SU) and 8-5 against the spread (ATS).

Just over half of Seminoles games have finished over the O/U total. Additionally, Florida State owns records of 9-2 SU and 8-2-1 ATS.

The Tar Heels won the only game between these two teams last year, 96-83. North Carolina out-rebounded Florida State. The Tar Heels had 21 offensive rebounds and 56 total rebounds, while the Seminoles had nine and 34, respectively. This is the first time these teams will go head-to-head this year.

North Carolina Tar Heels at Florida State Seminoles Odds Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – North Carolina, ATS Winner – North Carolina, O/U – Under

Notes

Betting Notes:

Florida State averages 24.6 three pointers per game, which ranks 74th in the nation. North Carolina ranks 259th in three pointers allowed per game (26.9).

The Seminoles rank seventh in blocks allowed per game (2.0) while the Tar Heels rank 152nd (4.9).

Florida State ranks 40th in steals per game (7.8) while North Carolina ranks 182nd (4.8).

The Tar Heels average 44.1 rebounds per game, which ranks fifth in the nation. The Seminoles rank 177th in rebounds allowed per game (36.5).

Florida State ranks 21st in assists per game (17.8) while North Carolina ranks 182nd in assists allowed per game (14.9).

North Carolina is 4-3 ATS on the road, while Florida State is 3-1 ATS at home.

Of the Tar Heels’ 7 road games, they have 4 unders and 3 overs.

The Seminoles have 3 overs and 1 under in 4 home games.

Bettings Trends:

In their last five games, North Carolina and Florida State are both 3-2 ATS.

The Tar Heels have 2 overs, 2 unders and 1 push over their last five games, while the Seminoles have 3 unders and 2 overs

The Tar Heels’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 12.4, down from 13.5 for the season.

During their last five games, the Seminoles have scored an average of 80.4 points per game (6.6 below their season average) and allowed an average of 65.4 points per game (3.8 below their season average).

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