At 3:30 ET, the Tar Heels and Tigers meet at Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC) for a week 12 NCAAF game. TV coverage is provided by ESPN, and the game takes place on Saturday, November 18th. Clemson heads into this Atlantic Coast matchup as the 7 point favorite to come away with the win. Does this mean they are a lock to win? Read on to get my take on this matchup.
NORTH CAROLINA TAR HEELS VS CLEMSON TIGERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: North Carolina Tar Heels +7
This game will be played at Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC) at 3:30 ET on Saturday, November 18th.
WHY BET THE NORTH CAROLINA TAR HEELS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 33-26 in favor of Clemson.
- Even though we have Clemson winning straight-up, we like North Carolina at +7.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 58.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 59 points.
Does North Carolina Have a Shot at a Road Win?
So far, the North Carolina Tar Heels are 8-2, including going 1-1 on the road and 4-1 at home.
While being favored in all of their games so far this season, North Carolina is 5-2 against the spread. The team comes into the game with an average scoring margin of +14.4.
Heading into this week’s game, North Carolina’s over/under record is 3-3-1. Their average margin against their over/under lines is currently +8.0 with their games averaging 65.4 points per game.
Heading into their matchup vs. Clemson, the Tar Heels’ offense is averaging 198.4 rushing yards per game, along with 4 yards per attempt. They currently hold the 17th rank in rushing yards and 8th rank in passing yards, amassing an average of 321.9 yards per game. In terms of scoring, North Carolina is at 39.9 points per game, which is 8th in the NCAA.
Defensively, the Tar Heels defense has come up with 26 sacks this season and are 1st in quarterback hurries. Overall, they are allowing 25.5 points per contest (93rd). Against the pass, they are 112th in the NCAA, having allowed 235.5 passing yards allowed per game. North Carolina is giving up 155.6 rushing yards per contest.
Will Clemson Win at Home?
With a 6-4 record, the Clemson Tigers take on North Carolina. Their road record so far is (1-2) and at home (4-0).
Clemson’s average scoring differential for the season is +9.1 leading to an ATS mark of 4-3. The Tigers have been favored six times and the underdog in one games
Over the course of 10 games, the average over/under line in Clemson’s matchups has been 50.7 points. These games have had an average combined score of 51.5 points, leading to an OU record of 3-4.
The Tigers come into their matchup vs. North Carolina 32nd in college football at 382 rushing attempts per game. This has translated to an average of 171.4 rushing yards per game, placing them 51st nationally. Additionally, they’ve been airing it out 37.1 times each game, accumulating an average of 238.6 passing yards. In terms of scoring, they stand 42nd, with 30.3 points per game.
The Tigers defense comes into the game with 24 sacks, and ranked 1st in QB hurries. In terms of points allowed, they are giving up 21.2 points per game (77th). When it comes to defending the pass, they are ranked 19th in the NCAA, allowing an average of 162.5 passing yards per game. Additionally, Clemson’s run defense comes in allowing 109.4 rushing yards per contest.