Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Wolfpack versus the Tar Heels? Tip off is at at 4:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on ESPN. The game will be played at Dean E. Smith Center in Chapel Hill, NC. The over/under for this game is set at 153.5 points, and North Carolina is favored by -10.5 vs. North Carolina State in a Atlantic Coast conference matchup.


The Pick: North Carolina State Wolfpack +10.5

This game will be played at Dean E. Smith Center at 4:00 ET on Saturday, March 2nd.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Tar Heels.
  • Even though we have North Carolina winning straight-up, we like North Carolina State at +10.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 153.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.

Will the Wolfpack Secure A Victory as Road Underdogs?

North Carolina State comes into this game as a 10.5-point underdog, and they have gone 2-8 in games where they were not favored this season. They are 17-11 overall, including a 9-8 record in Atlantic Coast Conference play.

On the road, the Wolfpack have gone 5-7, and they have gone 1-4 in their last five road games. Their average scoring margin on the road this season is -3.8 points per game.

North Carolina State has an ATS record of 12-15-1 this season and is 4-7-1 against the spread on the road. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Wolfpack are 4-5-1 vs. the spread.

North Carolina State has an over/under record of 17-10-1 this season, and the average scoring total in their games is 148.3 points. Today’s over/under line of 153.5 is higher than the average OU line in their games (146.9), and this year, 16 of their games have finished with more points than today’s OU line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 and the average scoring total is 164 points.

North Carolina State’s offense is coming off a good game, putting up 83 points vs. Florida State. Overall, they hit 47.6% of their shots from the field and went 13/20 from the free-throw line. DJ Horne is leading the team in scoring at 17.5 points per contest. Jayden Taylor has also been a key contributor with a PPG average of 11.8 going into the game.

At present, the Wolfpack’s defense is nationally ranked 174th, allowing 72.1 points per game. In today’s game, the North Carolina State defense will be looking to once again do a good job defending the three-point line, as they gave up just 5 three-pointers while giving up 90 points.

Can North Carolina Grab a Win at Home?

North Carolina will be looking to extend their three-game win streak when they take on North Carolina State. So far this season, the Tar Heels have gone 22-6, including a 14-2 record at home.

Over their last 10 games at home, North Carolina has gone 9-1, and they are 21-5 this season when favored. In their last game, the Tar Heels beat Miami (FL) by a score of 75-71.

As the favorite, North Carolina has gone 15-11 against the spread this season. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Tar Heels have a .500 ATS record of 5-5.

Today’s over/under line of 153.5 is similar to the average over/under line in North Carolina’s games this season (153.2). So far, 15 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 140 points, and their OU record is 1-2 in those games. On the season, their over/under record is 14-14.

Compared to their season average of 81.5 points per game, North Carolina struggled in their previous game. Against Miami (FL), the Tar Heels scored 75 points while finishing with a field goal percentage of 44.3%. Offensively, the Tar Heels hold a season-long field goal percentage of 44%, placing them 210th in the national rankings. When it comes to three-pointers, they are ranked 138th in terms of percentage and 131st in three-pointers made.

On defense, North Carolina is currently around the NCAA average in points allowed, giving up an average of 70.4 points per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 7.0 threes per game vs. North Carolina State. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 29.9%.