It will be a showdown between two outstanding offenses when the Notre Dame Fighting Irish (10-3, 1-0 ACC), 7-point favorites, meet the North Carolina State Wolfpack (10-4, 0-1 ACC) at Purcell Pavilion at the Joyce Center. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 150 points and it starts at 9 p.m. ET on Wednesday, January 3, 2018.
North Carolina State Wolfpack at Notre Dame Fighting Irish ATS Odds
In their last outing, the Fighting Irish defeated the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets, 68-59, while the Wolfpack were beaten by the Clemson Tigers, 78-62.
Notre Dame played a nearly perfect game. They had a free throw rate of 0.250 (below their season average of 0.287) and an offensive rebounding percentage of 34.2 (above their season average of 27.4). For those same stats, Georgia Tech had marks of 0.117 and 22.0, respectively. North Carolina State, on the other hand, held Clemson to an offensive rebounding percentage of 22.5 (below their season average of 27.5). Notre Dame’s Bonzie Colson had a good game, putting up 22 points and 17 rebounds. North Carolina State rallied around Omer Yurtseven, who put up 12 points, 10 rebounds and five blocks.
It might turn into a shootout as two of the nation’s top offenses face off. Notre Dame ranks 13th with 120.1 points per 100 possessions and North Carolina State is 36th (115.9). Moreover, the Wolfpack, who rank 43rd in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.288), will square off against the Fighting Irish, who rank fourth in opponents’ FTA rate (0.142).
Games featuring the Wolfpack tend to go over the projected point total (57.1 percent). North Carolina State has an excellent 10-4 straight up (SU) record, but they have difficulty covering the spread (3-4 against the spread (ATS)).
Similarly to North Carolina State, games involving the Fighting Irish also tend to finish over the total (55.6 percent). Notre Dame has a phenomenal 10-3 SU record, but they have difficulty covering the spread (4-5 ATS).
Colson has taken his game to another level recently for Notre Dame, averaging 25.4 points, 10.0 rebounds, 1.8 steals and 1.8 blocks over the last five games.
The Fighting Irish won the sole contest between these two teams last season, 81-72. The Fighting Irish’s 12.5 turnover percentage was their biggest strength over the Wolfpack, who had a rate of 15.8. This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams.
North Carolina State Wolfpack at Notre Dame Fighting Irish Odds Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Notre Dame, ATS Winner – North Carolina State, O/U – Over
North Carolina State ranks 66th in assists per game (15.7) while Notre Dame ranks 153rd in assists allowed per game (14.1).
The Wolfpack rank 54th in rebounds per game (39.1) while the Fighting Irish rank 112th in rebounds allowed per game (34.5).
North Carolina State ranks 179th in three pointers attempted per game (20.9) while Notre Dame ranks 195th in three pointers allowed per game (23.8).
The Fighting Irish rank 17th in steals allowed per game (4.8) while the Wolfpack rank 97th (6.4).
Notre Dame ranks 44th in blocks per game (4.8) while North Carolina State ranks 106th in blocks allowed per game (3.7).
Notre Dame is 0-3 ATS at home, while North Carolina State is 1-3 ATS on the road.
In 4 road games, the Wolfpack have 3 unders and 1 over.
Of the Fighting Irish’s 3 home games, they have 2 overs and 1 under.
The Fighting Irish are 1-3 ATS over their last five games, while the Wolfpack are 0-2.
In their last five games, Notre Dame has 3 overs and 1 under, while North Carolina State has 1 over and 1 under.
During their last five games, the Fighting Irish have scored an average of 84.0 points per game (2.0 above their season average) and allowed an average of 68.8 points per game (2.6 above their season average).
The Wolfpack’s average margin of victory in their last five games has been 12.4, down from 13.7 for the season.