Don’t miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Lions and Governors. The game is starting at 7:00 ET on ESPN+, and it’s hosted by the Governors at F&M Bank Arena in Clarksville, TN. Get ready to place your bets! This Atlantic Sun conference matchup has an over/under of 148.5 points, and Austin Peay is favored to win by -3.5 at home vs. North Alabama.


The Pick: Austin Peay Governors -3.5

This game will be played at F&M Bank Arena at 7:00 ET on Thursday, March 7th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 78-68 in favor of the Governors.
  • Not only will Austin Peay pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -3.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 148.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 146 points.

Will the Lions Secure A Victory as Road Underdogs?

North Alabama enters this game as a 3.5-point underdog, and they have gone 4-10 in 14 games as the underdog this season. They are 15-16 overall, and they have won two straight games.

On the road, the Lions are just 5-12 this season, and they have an average scoring margin of -5.8 points per game. Over their last 10 road games, they have gone 4-6.

As the underdog, North Alabama has been solid vs. the spread this season, going 8-6. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Lions have an ATS mark of 6-4. On the road, North Alabama has an ATS record of 8-9 this year.

North Alabama’s over/under record this season is 15-13-1, and today’s line of 148.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (149). Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 154 points compared to the season average of 152 points per game.

The North Alabama offense is coming off a game in which they scored 77 points vs. Lipscomb. Overall their field goal percentage was 46.7% while connecting on 13 threes. Jacari Lane is currently the leading scorer for the team, entering today’s matchup with an average of 14.6. Meanwhile, KJ Johnson also brings a PPG average of 14.2 into the game.

The Lions’ defense is presently ranked 276th nationally, allowing an average of 76.1 points per contest. In their most recent game, the North Alabama defense struggled to defend the three-point line, as Lipscomb knocked down 9 three-pointers on their way to 75 points.

Does Austin Peay Stand a Chance at Home?

At home this season, Austin Peay has been terrific, going 8-2. They have gone 9-1 in their last ten games at home. For the season, they have an average scoring margin of +4.5 points per game at home.

So far, Austin Peay has been favored in seven games, going 5-2 in those matchups. They are 18-14 overall and have won their last game against Eastern Kentucky, 83-79.

Against the spread, Austin Peay has gone 16-10-1 this season. At home, their ATS mark is 6-3-1. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Governors are just 3-6-1 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 148.5 is higher than the average over/under line in Austin Peay’s games this year (139.8). So far, 12 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 with an average of 179 points scored compared to their season average of 143.9 points per game.

In their latest game, Austin Peay offense put up 83 points against Eastern Kentucky. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 48.3% and made 6 threes. In terms of three-point shooting, the Governors offense has been good from outside, hitting 37% of their three-pointers on an average of 22.2 attempts per game. Their overall field goal percentage is currently 44%.

Currently, the Governors’ defense holds the 183rd rank in the nation, allowing 72.3 points per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 6.4 threes per game vs. North Alabama. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 31.3%.