No. 9 Florida at Kentucky Free Pick 9/14/19

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Last Updated: 2019-09-10

The No. 9 Florida Gators (-8) and Kentucky Wildcats will go head-to-head on the turf of Kroger Field. The game is scheduled to get going at 7:00 p.m. ET and fans can catch it live by tuning in to ESPN.

No. 9 Florida at Kentucky Betting Odds 9/14/2019

Florida is giving up 8 points in this SEC game. The Gators are currently getting -340 moneyline odds while the Wildcats are +260. This SEC match could present some in-game betting possibilities, and the over/under (O/U) has been set at 50.5 points.

The Gators are 2-0 straight up (SU) and they haven’t faced any SEC competition yet. The Wildcats are 2-0 SU overall and are also 0-0 SU in conference play. The Gators are 0-1-1 against the spread (ATS) and have recorded 1.0 unit so far in 2019. They’ve been a good under bet and have posted an Over-Under record of 0-2.

The Wildcats have gained 2.0 units this season. They’re 2-0 ATS and have an O/U record of 2-0.

The Gators are looking to remain undefeated after a 45-0 win over UT Martin last week. The passing game was sharp as the Gators completed 30-of-36 passes for 312 yards and three touchdowns. Feleipe Franks went 25-for-27 for 270 yards and two touchdowns while Kyle Trask completed four-of-five for 40 yards and one touchdown. Lamical Perine (51 rushing yards on 10 attempts, one TD) led the running attack while Trevon Grimes (five receptions, 56 yards) and Van Jefferson (four catches, 94 yards, one TD) shared the receiving duties in the win.

Kentucky is coming off of a 38-17 win over Eastern Michigan. As a group, the team collectively completed 20-of-36 passes for 222 yards and two touchdowns. Terry Wilson went 14-for-26 for 114 yards while Sawyer Smith was five-of-nine for 76 yards and two touchdowns. A.J. Rose (82 rushing yards on 17 attempts, one TD) and Kavosiey Smoke (92 yards on 11 carries, one TD) mounted the running game as Lynn Bowden Jr. (seven receptions, 54 yards, one TD) and Rose (four catches, 12 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the win.

Florida has run the ball on 51.2 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Kentucky has a rush percentage of 55.7 percent. The Gators have run for 141 yards/game and have four touchdowns on the ground this year. The Wildcats are logging 208 rushing yards per contest and have six total rush TDs.

The Gators have averaged 283 yards through the air overall and have five passing TDs so far. The Wildcats have produced 234 pass yards per outing and have four total pass scores.

Defensively, Florida should have the upper hand in both phases. The team has allowed opponents to run for an average of 71 yards and throw for 177 yards per game. Kentucky has allowed 115.0 yards per game on the ground and 251.5 to opposing teams in the air. The Gators are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 3.60 to opposing QBs, while the Wildcats have given up a 4.31 ANY/A.

Franks likely has the edge over Wilson in this matchup, as his adjusted net yards per pass attempt stands at 11.04for the season (and 9.00 over the last two games). Wilson’s ANY/A is 4.00 for the season and 7.13 over his last two outings.

When these two teams met a year ago, Kentucky emerged victorious by a score of 27-16.

Florida Gators vs. Kentucky Wildcats Betting Prediction

SU Winner – Kentucky, ATS Winner – Kentucky, O/U – Under


Team Betting Notes

The Over/Under for Florida’s last game going into it was 59.5. The under cashed in the team’s 45-0 victory over UT Martin.

The Kentucky offense has lost three fumbles this season while Florida has let two get away.

The O/U for Kentucky’s last outing was set at 52. The over cashed in the 38-17 victory over Eastern Michigan.

The Gators offense has tallied three pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Wildcats have put up two such plays.

The Florida defense has allowed one pass play of 40 or more yards, while Kentucky has given up zero such plays.

The Florida offense has created two rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Kentucky has created five such run.

The Gators defense has allowed three rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Wildcats have given up one such run.

The Florida D has 15 sacks on the year while Kentucky has just six.

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