No. 6 Oregon at No. 24 Arizona State College Football Betting Pick 11/23/19


A game between a couple of teams ranked in the Top 25 nationally, the No. 24 Arizona State Sun Devils (+14.5) are set to play host to their conference counterpart No. 6 Oregon Ducks (-14.5) at Sun Devil Stadium, Frank Kush Field. ABC will broadcast the action and kickoff will take place at 7:30 p.m. ET.

No. 6 Oregon vs. No. 24 Arizona State Betting Odds 11/23/2019

The spread for this Pac-12 game is placed at 14.5 points in favor of Oregon. The Ducks are currently getting -750 moneyline odds while the Sun Devils are +510. The over/under has been set at 54 points, and if one squad can find paydirt early on, it will likely create a worthy live betting opportunity.

Sharp bettors are siding with the under, as the game’s total initially opened at 55.

The Ducks are 9-1 straight up (SU), including 7-0 SU against Pac-12 opponents. The Sun Devils are 5-5 SU overall and 2-5 SU in conference play. The Ducks have gained 3.0 units so far in 2019 and are 6-4 against the spread (ATS). They’ve been a decent under bet and have recorded an Over-Under mark of 4-6.

The Sun Devils have gained 0.5 units this season. They’re 3-6-1 ATS and have an even O/U record of 5-5.

Arizona State enters this matchup on a zero-game winning streak while Oregon has lost each of its last zero. The Ducks are trying to maintain momentum after a solid 34-6 win over Arizona last week where Justin Herbert completed 20 passes on 28 attempts for 333 yards, four scores and one interception. Travis Dye (71 yards on 14 rush attempts) and CJ Verdell (49 yards on 11 carries) led the ground attack in the win while Juwan Johnson (five receptions, 93 yards, one TD) and Johnny Johnson III (four catches, 89 yards, one TD) manned the receiving duties.

One week ago, Oregon State took care of this Arizona State crew by a score of 35-34. The Sun Devils defense let the Beavers eat up the clock by running for 105 yards on 39 rush attempts, along with one rushing TD. Isaiah Hodgins had a good outing in the win, posting 93 yards on six catches for Oregon State. For Arizona State, Jayden Daniels completed 24-of-36 passes for 334 yards and three touchdowns. Eno Benjamin (70 yards on 15 rush attempts, one TD) led the ground game in the defeat as Brandon Aiyuk (10 receptions, 173 yards, one TD) led the pass-catching attack.

When looking at offensive play selection, each of these teams has a similar run-pass ratio on the season. Oregon has run the ball on 52.9 percent of its offensive possessions while Arizona State has an overall rush percentage of 51.8. The Ducks, however, have produced 180 rush yards/game (including 177 per game versus Pac-12 opponents) and have 17 touchdowns via handoffs this year. The Sun Devils haven’t been quite as productive, as they’re totaling 115 rush yards per contest (117 in conference) and have 11 total rushing TDs.

If 2019 results can translate to this game, then the Ducks ought to have the advantage in the trenches, as their offensive line has given up just 22 sacks while the D-line logged 29 sacks. The Sun Devils offensive line has allowed 16 sacks and their defense has created only 29 sacks.

The Ducks have tallied 281 yards/game through the air overall (264 per game versus conference opposition) and have 31 passing scores so far. The Sun Devils have put up 253 pass yards per outing (257.1 in the Pac-12) and have 18 total pass TDs.

Oregon should have an edge when it comes to limiting the pass. The team has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 101 yards and pass for 205 yards per game. Arizona State has allowed 109.3 yards per game on the ground and 270.9 to opponents in the air. The Ducks are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 3.38 to opposing QBs, while the Sun Devils have given up a 7.3 ANY/A.

Herbert has put up 2,437 passing yards on the year. He’s connected on 199-of-290 attempts with 25 passing touchdowns and only two interceptions. Herbert’s got a sparkling 8.97 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 9.71 over the last two games.

Jayden Daniels has put up 2,236 yards, 14 TDs and two INTs for Arizona State. His ANY/A stands at 8.10 for the season and 8.90 over his past two outings.

These two programs met last year with the final result being a 31-29 win for Oregon.

Oregon Ducks at Arizona State Sun Devils Bedding Prediction

SU Winner – Oregon, ATS Winner – Oregon, O/U – Over


Betting Trends

The Oregon defensive unit has 32 sacks on the year while Arizona State has just 19.

Arizona State has lost eight fumbles in 2019 while the Oregon offense has let four get away.

The Ducks offense has created four pass plays of 40+ yards, while the Sun Devils have accounted for 13 such plays.

The Oregon defense has allowed two pass plays of 40+ yards, while Arizona State has given up six such plays.

The Oregon offense has created 12 rushing plays of 20+ yards, while Arizona State has created seven such runs.

The Ducks defense has allowed seven rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Sun Devils have given up five such runs.

The O/U for Arizona State’s last match was 55.5. The over cashed in the 35-34 defeat to Oregon State.

Over its last three matches, Arizona State is 0-2-1 ATS and the over cashed in each of those three.

In its last three matchups, Oregon is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.

The O/U for Oregon’s last game was set at 68.5. The under cashed in the team’s 34-6 victory over Arizona.

Oregon has produced 4.9 yards per carry over its past three contests and 3.8 over its last two.

Arizona State has averaged 3.2 yards per carry over its last three outings and 2.6 over its past two.