No. 5 Utah Utes (-7) are coming into the Pac-12 Championship Game as favorites against the No. 13 Oregon Ducks. ABC has the TV rights and kickoff is scheduled for 8:00 p.m. ET.
No. 5 Utah vs. No. 13 Oregon Betting Odds 12/6/2019
Utah is giving up 7 points in this Pac-12 game. The Utes are currently being given -270 moneyline odds while the Ducks are +210. This Pac-12 tilt will probably have some live betting opportunities. The over/under is set at 51 points.
This matchup’s betting odds have swayed a hair from when they were originally posted. The line opened at -6 while the game’s over/under was initially placed at 50.5.
The Utes are 11-1 straight up (SU), including 8-1 SU against conference opponents. The Ducks are 10-2 SU overall and 8-1 SU in conference play. The profitable Utes have gained 3.3 units so far and are 9-3 against the spread (ATS). They’ve been a good under bet and have recorded an Over-Under mark of 3-8-1.
The Ducks have lost 2.5 units this season. They’re 6-6 ATS and have an O/U record of 5-7.
The Utes are coming off a resounding 45-15 win over Colorado last week where Tyler Huntley completed 14-of-17 passes for only 165 yards and two touchdowns. Zack Moss (88 rushing yards on 20 attempts, one TD) and the signal-caller Huntley (27 yards on 10 carries) led the running attack in the win. Brant Kuithe (three receptions, 63 yards, two TDs) and Jaylen Dixon (three catches, 34 yards) handled the receiving duties.
Oregon is coming off of a 24-10 win over Oregon State. The defensive unit allowed the Beavers to run for 137 yards on 34 rush attempts, along with one rushing TD. Jermar Jefferson had a productive showing in the defeat for Oregon State, recording 81 rushing yards and a score on 20 attempts. For Oregon, Justin Herbert completed 18-of-30 passes for 174 yards and one touchdown. CJ Verdell (50 rushing yards on 15 attempts) and Travis Dye (91 yards on 12 carries) spearheaded the ground game in the win as Jaylon Redd (five receptions, 34 yards) and Johnny Johnson III (four catches, 39 yards, one TD) led the pass-catching corps.
Utah has run the ball on 65.9 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Oregon has a rush percentage of 52.4 percent. The Utes have produced 215 rush yards per game (including 211 per game versus Pac-12 opponents) and have 34 scores via handoffs this year. The Ducks are averaging 179 rushing yards per contest (176 in conference) and have 20 total rush TDs.
The Utes have averaged 239 yards in the air overall (248 per game versus conference opposition) and have 17 passing TDs so far. The Ducks have put up 274 pass yards per outing (258.6 against Pac-12 competition) and have 34 total pass scores.
Utah seems to have an edge in both defensive phases. The team has let opponents rush for an average of 56 yards and throw for 185 yards per game. Oregon has allowed 106.1 yards per game on the ground and 225.3 to opposing teams in the air. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to opponents, as the Utes have given up an ANY/A of 3.96 to opposing QBs, while the Ducks are allowing an ANY/A of 4.28.
Huntley probably has the edge over Herbert in this matchup, as his adjusted net yards per pass attempt sits at 11.57for the season (and 8.63 over the past two outings). Herbert’s ANY/A is 8.62 for the year and 6.16 across his last two outings.
When these two schools faced one another last year, Utah knocked Oregon off by a touchdown 32-25.
Utah Utes vs. Oregon Ducks NCAA Pick
SU Winner – Utah, ATS Winner – Utah, O/U – Over
The Over/Under for Utah’s previous game was set at 50. The over cashed in the team’s 45-15 victory over Colorado.
Utah has averaged 5.5 yards per carry over its last three games and 5.5 over its last two.
Oregon has averaged 4.6 yards per carry over its last three outings and 5.3 over its past two.
Oregon has lost five fumbles this season while Utah has lost nine.
Over its last three games, Utah is 3-0 ATS.
The Over/Under for Oregon’s previous match was 64.5. The under cashed in the 24-10 win over Oregon State.
Over its last three games, Oregon is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
Oregon has won 11 of its last 12 games SU, with a -3-point defeat to Arizona State on November 23rd accounting for its lone loss over that span.
The Utes offense has created 13 pass plays of 40+ yards, while the Ducks have accounted for four such plays.
The Utah defense has allowed four pass plays of 40 yards or more, while Oregon has given up five such plays.
The Utah offense has created 17 rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while Oregon has created 16 such runs.
The Utes defense has allowed two rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Ducks have given up eight such runs.
The Oregon defense has sacked opposing QBs 35 times this season. Utah has recorded just 29 sacks.