No. 4 Clemson vs. North Carolina State College Football Betting Pick 11/9/19


The No. 4 Clemson Tigers and North Carolina State Wolfpack are set to go at it on the grass at Carter-Finley Stadium. The game is scheduled to kick off at 7:30 p.m. ET and ABC has the TV rights.

No. 4 Clemson vs. North Carolina State Betting Odds 11/9/2019

Clemson is the heavy road favorite and is currently giving up 32 points to North Carolina State. If the Pack seize control early it will create a nice live betting scenario. The over/under is set at 54. With the Tigers currently getting 32 points, Vegas is speculating that this could be an 11-43 victory for the Wolfpack.

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The game’s over/under was initially placed at 55, but early action has moved to the under.

The Tigers are 9-0 straight up (SU), including 6-0 SU against ACC opponents. The Wolfpack are 4-4 SU overall and 1-3 SU in conference play. The Tigers are 6-3 against the spread (ATS) and have gained 1.0 unit so far in 2019. The team has recorded an Over-Under mark of 4-5.

The Wolfpack have lost 3.9 units this season. They’re 3-5 ATS and have an O/U record of 2-6.

The Tigers are hoping to remain unbeaten after a 59-14 win over Wofford last week in which the Tigers completed 19-of-27 passes for 283 yards and three touchdowns. Trevor Lawrence went 12-for-16 for 218 yards and three touchdowns while Chase Brice completed seven-of-11 for 65 yards. Travis Etienne (212 yards on nine rushes, two TDs) and Chez Mellusi (57 yards on eight carries) propelled the ground attack in the win while Tee Higgins (five receptions, 74 yards, one TD) and Justyn Ross (four catches, 50 yards, one TD) handled the receiving duties.

One week ago, Wake Forest took care of this North Carolina State crew by a score of 44-10. The Pack defensive unit let the Demon Deacons kill the clock by running for 123 yards on 46 rush attempts, including two rush TDs. Kendall Hinton had a solid outing in the win for Wake Forest, posting 93 yards on six catches. For North Carolina State, Devin Leary completed 17-of-45 passes for 149 yards, one touchdown and two interceptions. Jordan Houston (48 rushing yards on 11 attempts) led the ground game in the defeat while Emeka Emezie (four receptions, 30 yards) and Carter (four catches, 44 yards) led the pass-catching corps.

Clemson’s run the ball on 54.3 percent of its offensive possessions this year while North Carolina State has a rush percentage of 45.9 percent. The Tigers have rushed for 272 yards per game (including 280 per game against Atlantic Coast opponents) and have 27 touchdowns via handoffs this year. The Pack are logging 149 rushing yards per contest (91 in conference) and have 11 total rush TDs.

Judging by the results this season, it’s looking like the Tigers might hold an advantage when it comes to RB effectiveness. Their running backs has logged 7.0 yards per carry while the defense is allowing 3.0 yards per rush attempt to opponents. The Wolfpack have rushed for 4.3 yards per carry and allowed a YPC of 3.4 to opponents.

The Tigers have averaged 273 yards in the air overall (279 per game versus conference opposition) and have 23 passing TDs so far. The Pack have recorded 245 pass yards per outing (250.3 against ACC foes) and have 10 total pass scores.

Defensively, Clemson should have the upper hand when it comes to limiting the pass. The team has allowed opponents to run for an average of 113 yards and pass for 134 yards per game. North Carolina State has allowed 119.0 rushing yards per game and 243.1 to opposing teams in the air. The Tigers are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 2.52 to opponents, while the Pack have given up a 5.52 ANY/A.

Lawrence has amassed 1,752 pass yards this season. He’s connected on 133-of-206 attempts with 17 passing touchdowns and eight interceptions. Lawrence’s got a pristine 8.08 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 16.89 over the past two games.

In the home locker room, Devin Leary has put up 226 yards, one TD and two INTs. Leary’s ANY/A sits at a minuscule 2.55 for the year and 4.72 over his past two games.

When these two schools faced one another a year ago, Clemson won easily 41-7.

Clemson Tigers at North Carolina State Wolfpack NCAA Pick

SU Winner – North Carolina State, ATS Winner – North Carolina State, O/U – Under


Betting Trends

North Carolina State has lost three fumbles this season while Clemson has lost four.

The Clemson defensive unit has 30 sacks on the year while North Carolina State has 27.

As a team, Clemson has averaged 8.6 yards per carry over its last three contests and 8.9 over its last two.

North Carolina State has averaged 3.2 yards per carry over its last three outings and 3.2 over its last two.

Over its last three games, North Carolina State is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.

The O/U for Clemson’s last game was 58.5. The over cashed in the team’s 59-14 victory over Wofford.

Over its last three matchups, Clemson is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.

The Over/Under for North Carolina State’s previous game was set at 61. The under cashed in the team’s 44-10 loss to Wake Forest.

North Carolina State has lost four of its last five games SU, with a six-point victory over Syracuse on October 10th accounting for its lone win over that stretch.

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