No. 3 Clemson at South Carolina College Football Betting Pick 11/30/19

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The No. 3 Clemson Tigers (+25.5) are set to face off against the South Carolina Gamecocks at Williams-Brice Stadium. This afternoon game is scheduled to kick off at 12:00 p.m. ET and fans can catch it live by tuning in to ESPN.

No. 3 Clemson at South Carolina Betting Odds 11/30/2019

Clemson is significantly favored here and is currently giving up 25.5 points to South Carolina. The over/under has been set at 51.5 points, and if one school gets out in front early on, it’ll likely produce a worthy in-game betting opportunity.

Odds have moved from where they were originally placed, as the line opened at 24.5. The game’s total has not moved after it was set initially at 51.5.

The Tigers are 11-0 straight up (SU) while the Gamecocks are 4-7 SU. The Tigers are 8-3 against the spread (ATS) and have gained 1.0 unit this season. The team has posted an O/U record of 5-6.

The lackluster Gamecocks have lost 10.3 units in 2019. They’re 5-6 ATS and have an O/U record of 4-7.

The Tigers are hoping to stay undefeated after a 52-3 win over Wake Forest on November 16. The passing attack was sharp as the Tigers completed 26-of-35 passes for 348 yards, five touchdowns and one interception. Trevor Lawrence went 21-for-27 for 272 yards and four touchdowns while Chase Brice completed five-of-eight for 76 yards, one touchdown, and one interception. Travis Etienne (121 rushing yards on 16 attempts, one TD) led the running attack in the win while Tee Higgins (four receptions, 64 yards, three TDs) and Diondre Overton (four catches, 52 yards) handled the receiving duties.

Back on November 16, Texas A&M knocked off this South Carolina team by a score of 30-6. The Gamecocks defensive unit allowed the Aggies to eat up the clock by running for 319 yards on 46 rush attempts, including two rush TDs. Cordarrian Richardson put up a good outing in the win, recording 130 rushing yards and a score on six attempts for Texas A&M. For South Carolina, Ryan Hilinski completed 16-of-41 passes for 175 yards. Rico Dowdle (12 yards on seven rush attempts) spearheaded the ground game in the defeat as Kyle Markway (five receptions, 47 yards) and Dowdle (four catches, 10 yards) led the pass-catching corps.

Clemson has run the ball on 54 percent of its offensive possessions this year while South Carolina has an overall rush percentage of 45.7 percent. The Tigers have rushed for 261 yards per game and have 34 scores via handoffs this year. The Gamecocks are averaging 157 rushing yards per contest and have 18 total rush TDs.

Based on the numbers this season, it appears the Tigers ought to have the advantage in terms of RB effectiveness. Their running backs has generated 6.6 yards per carry while the defense is allowing 2.9 YPC to opponents. The Gamecocks have recorded 4.7 yards per carry and given up a YPC of 4.1 to opponents.

The Tigers have averaged 283 yards in the air overall and have 31 passing TDs so far. The Gamecocks have recorded 233 pass yards per game and have 12 total pass scores.

Defensively, Clemson should have the upper hand in both phases. The team has allowed 110 rush yards and 128 pass yards per game. South Carolina has allowed 153.2 rushing yards per game and 227.9 to opposing teams in the air. The Tigers are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 2.40 to opposing QBs, while the Gamecocks have given up a 5.79 ANY/A.

Lawrence is up to 2,299 passing yards on the year, and has connected on 170-of-252 attempts with 24 passing touchdowns and eight interceptions. Lawrence has a sparkling 9.05 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 11.33 over the last two outings.

We’re expecting the Tigers to control tempo by pounding the defense with their running backs. Backfield mates Travis Etienne (1,223 rush yards, 12 rush TDs, 221 receiving yards, one receiving TD) and Lyn-J Dixon (462 rush yards, five rush TDs, 102 receiving yards) have brought significant production to the offense for Clemson.

Ryan Hilinski has produced 1,927 yards, 10 TDs and three INTs for South Carolina. His ANY/A stands at 5.66 for the season and 4.47 over his past two outings.

The Gamecocks should also look to control the clock by turning to their backfield. In addition to Rico Dowdle (88 receiving yards), Bryan Edwards (22 rush yards, 816 receiving yards, six receiving TDs) and Kyle Markway (267 receiving yards and two TDs) have gotten quite a few touches lately.

When these two teams faced each other last year, Clemson knocked South Carolina off by three touchdowns 56-35.

Clemson Tigers at South Carolina Gamecocks Bedding Prediction

SU Winner – South Carolina, ATS Winner – South Carolina, O/U – Over

Notes

Team Betting Notes

The South Carolina offense has lost seven fumbles this season while Clemson has lost four.

The Clemson defense has 34 sacks on the year while South Carolina has just 23.

As a team, Clemson has averaged 7.2 yards per rush attempt over its last three games and 5.2 over its last two.

South Carolina has averaged 2.9 yards per carry over its last three outings and 1.5 over its last two.

Over its last three contests, South Carolina is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in each of those three.

The Over/Under for Clemson’s previous game was set at 58.5. The under cashed in the team’s 52-3 triumph over Wake Forest.

In its last three matches, Clemson is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.

The Over/Under for South Carolina’s last matchup was set at 47. The under cashed in the 30-6 defeat to Texas A&M.

South Carolina has lost five of its last six games SU, with a 17-point triumph over Vanderbilt on November 2nd representing its one win over that span.