No. 24 USC at BYU Free Pick 9/14/19

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Last Updated: 2019-09-10

The Cougars of BYU (+4.5) are set to welcome the No. 24 USC Trojans (-4.5) to LaVell Edwards Stadium. This pivotal afternoon game kicks off at 3:30 p.m. ET and fans can catch it live by tuning in to ABC.

No. 24 USC vs. BYU Betting Odds 9/14/2019

The line for this game is placed at 4.5 points in favor of USC. The Trojans are currently getting -200 moneyline odds while the Cougars are +170. This match should offer multiple live betting possibilities, and the over/under (O/U) is set at 52 points.

The game’s total has swung upward after originally being set at 51.5. The opening spread (4.5) has yet to change.

The Trojans are 2-0 straight up (SU) while the Cougars are 1-1 SU. The Trojans have gained 2.0 units so far and are 1-1 against the spread (ATS). The team has recorded an Over-Under mark of 2-0.

The Cougars have gained 0.6 units this season. They’re 1-1 ATS and have an O/U record of 1-1.

The Trojans are looking to remain unbeaten following a 45-20 victory over Stanford last week. The passing game was sharp as Kedon Slovis completed 28 passes on 33 attempts for 377 yards and three touchdowns. Vavae Malepeai (42 yards on 12 rush attempts, two TDs) mounted the running attack. Amon-Ra St. Brown (eight receptions, 97 yards, two TDs) and Michael Pittman Jr. (six catches, 82 yards) shared the receiving duties in the win.

The BYU Cougars take the field on Saturday after just earning a 29-26 win over Tennessee. The defensive unit allowed the Volunteers to run for 242 yards on 49 rush attempts. Ty Chandler was a bright spot in the defeat for Tennessee, posting 154 rushing yards on 26 attempts. For BYU, Zach Wilson completed 19-of-29 passes for 232 yards and one touchdown. Ty’Son Williams (92 yards on 17 rush attempts, two TDs) handled the running attack as Micah Simon (seven receptions, 127 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the win.

Each of these squads has a similar run-pass ratio on the season. USC’s run the ball on 46.0 percent of its offensive possessions while BYU has a rush percentage of 45.2. The Trojans have run for 145 yards/game and have five touchdowns on the ground this year. The Cougars are totaling 100 rushing yards per contest and have three total rush TDs.

Based on the early season results, it’s looking like the Trojans could own the advantage in terms of RB effectiveness, since their running backs has generated 4.5 yards per carry while their defense is allowing a YPC of 4.3 to opponents. The Cougars have tallied 3.8 yards per carry and allowed 5.2 yards per rush attempt to opponents.

The Trojans have averaged 325 yards through the air overall and have four passing scores so far. The Cougars have put up 220 pass yards per game and have just one pass TDs.

On the defensive side of the ball, USC has allowed 152 rush yards and 247 pass yards per game. BYU has allowed 252.0 yards per game on the ground and 141 to opponents in the air. The Trojans are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 5.31 to opposing QBs, while the Cougars have allowed a 6.02 ANY/A.

Slovis likely has the advantage over Wilson in this matchup, as his adjusted net yards per pass attempt sits at 12.74for the year (and 10.60 over the past two outings). Wilson’s ANY/A is 7.09 for the season and 5.21 over his past two games.

USC Trojans vs. BYU Cougars NCAA Tip

SU Winner – USC, ATS Winner – USC, O/U – Over

Notes

Team Betting Notes

The USC defense has sacked opposing QBs six times this season. BYU has recorded one sack.

BYU has lost one fumble this season while the USC offense has lost three.

The Trojans offense has created two pass plays of 40 yards or more, while the Cougars have put up one such play.

Both teams have allowed one pass play of 40 yards or more. The USC defense has given up three pass plays of 30+ yards while BYU has permitted one such plays.

The USC offense has created four rushing plays of 20+ yards, while BYU has created one such runs.

Both defenses have allowed three rushing play of 20 or more yards. The Trojans have given up 10 running plays of 10+ yards while the Cougars have given up 15 such plays.

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