No. 23 Stanford vs. Colorado College Football Betting Pick 11/9/19


The Buffaloes of Colorado (+3.5) are gearing up to welcome their in-conference rival No. 23 Stanford Cardinal (-3.5) to Folsom Field. Kickoff for this matchup is set for 3:00 p.m. ET and Pac-12 Networks is scheduled to broadcast the action.

No. 23 Stanford at Colorado Betting Odds 11/9/2019

Stanford is giving up 3.5 points in this Pac-12 game. The Cardinal are currently getting -175 moneyline odds while the Buffaloes are +155. The over/under has been set at 54.5 points, and on the surface it appears that there should be multiple good in-game betting opportunities in this match.

The game’s total has been driven down after opening at 55. The original spread has remained firm.

The Cardinal are 4-4 straight up (SU), including 3-3 SU against Pac-12 opponents. The Buffaloes are 3-6 SU overall and 1-5 SU in conference play. The Cardinal are 3-5 against the spread (ATS) and have gained 1.8 units so far in 2019. The team has posted an Over-Under record of 5-3.

The Buffaloes have lost 0.8 units this season. They’re 4-5 ATS and have an even O/U record of 4-4-1.

The Cardinal just scored a 41-31 win over Arizona on October 26. K.J. Costello completed 31-of-44 passes for 322 yards and three touchdowns. Cameron Scarlett (102 yards on 19 rush attempts, two TDs) provided the ground attack while Connor Wedington (eight receptions, 71 yards) and Michael Wilson (six catches, 45 yards) shared the receiving duties in the win.

A week ago, UCLA got the victory against this Colorado crew by a score of 31-14. The Buffaloes defense let the Bruins kill the clock by running for 200 yards on 46 rush attempts, including two rush TDs. Joshua Kelley had a good outing, recording 126 rushing yards and two touchdowns on 23 attempts for UCLA. For Colorado, Steven Montez completed 21-of-38 passes for 195 yards, one touchdown and one interception. Jaren Mangham (77 yards on 17 rush attempts) spearheaded the running attack as Tony Brown (six receptions, 77 yards, one TD) and K.D. Nixon (six catches, 56 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the loss.

Each of these teams sports a similar run-pass ratio on the season. Stanford has run the ball on 47.8 percent of its offensive possessions while Colorado has a rush percentage of 49.7. The Cardinal have produced 119 rush yards per game (including 118 per game versus Pac-12 opponents) and have six scores on the ground this year. The Buffaloes are putting up 152 rush yards per contest (155 in conference) and have 12 total rushing TDs.

The Cardinal have tallied 229 yards per contest in the air overall (228 per game versus conference opposition) and have 11 passing TDs so far. The Buffaloes have put up 255 pass yards per game (244.2 against Pac-12 foes) and have 15 total pass scores.

Stanford seems to hold an edge in both defensive facets. The team has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 151 yards and pass for 264 yards per game. Colorado has allowed 164.1 rushing yards per game and 316 to opponents in the air. The Cardinal are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of 7.16 to opponents, while the Buffaloes have allowed an 8.25 ANY/A.

Costello has amassed 793 passing yards this season. He’s completed 84-of-138 attempts with five passing touchdowns and two interceptions. Costello’s got a 5.33 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 8.68 over the last two outings.

In the host locker room, Steven Montez has accounted for 1,918 yards, 11 TDs and nine INTs. Montez’s ANY/A stands at 5.71 for the year and 6.06 over his last two outings.

These two Pac-12 foes did not get a chance to face each other in 2018.

Stanford Cardinal at Colorado Buffaloes Free Prediction

SU Winner – Stanford, ATS Winner – Stanford, O/U – Over


Team Betting Notes

The Cardinal offense has created two pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Buffaloes have accounted for five such plays.

The Stanford defense has allowed three pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Colorado has given up nine such plays.

The Stanford offense has created five rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Colorado has created eight such runs.

The Cardinal defense has allowed 10 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Buffaloes have given up 11 such runs.

The Stanford D has 20 sacks on the year while Colorado has 15.

As a team, Stanford has rushed for 3.8 yards per attempt over its last three contests and 3.4 over its last two.

Colorado has averaged 4.8 yards per carry over its last three games and 4.7 over its last two.

Stanford has won four of its last five games SU, with an 18-point loss to UCLA on October 17th accounting for the only defeat over that stretch.

Colorado has dropped seven of its last eight games SU, with a three-point win over Arizona State on September 21st accounting for the lone victory over that span.


Please enter your comment!
Please enter your name here