No. 20 Kansas State at Texas College Football Betting Pick 11/9/19

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Last Updated: 2019-11-05

The Longhorns of Texas (-7) are set to host their conference nemesis No. 20 Kansas State Wildcats at Darrell K. Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium/Jamail Field. This important afternoon game is scheduled to kick off at 3:30 p.m. ET and ESPN will broadcast the action.

No. 20 Kansas State vs. Texas Betting Odds 11/9/2019

The line for this Big 12 game is placed at 7 points in favor of Texas. The Wildcats are currently receiving +210 moneyline odds while the Longhorns are -270. This Big 12 game should offer multiple live betting opportunities. The over/under has been set at 58.5 points.

The game’s O/U hasn’t changed after it was initially set at 58.5. Having said that, the line opened at -5 and sharp bettors are siding with the Longhorns.

The Wildcats are 6-2 straight up (SU), including 3-2 SU against conference opponents. The Longhorns are 5-3 SU overall and are also 3-2 SU in conference play. The surprising Wildcats have recorded 3.1 units so far and are 6-2 against the spread (ATS). They’ve been a decent under bet and have posted an Over-Under record of 3-5.

The Longhorns have gained 0.0 units this season. They’re 4-4 ATS and six of their games have gone over the total.

The Wildcats are looking to maintain momentum after a solid 38-10 win over Kansas last week. Skylar Thompson completed only nine passes on 16 attempts for 129 yards. Harry Trotter (92 rushing yards on 20 attempts, one TD) and the signal-caller Thompson (127 yards on 17 carries, three TDs) mounted the ground attack. Dalton Schoen (two receptions, 67 yards) and Nick Lenners (two catches, 19 yards) shared the receiving duties in the win.

Texas just lost a 37-27 game to TCU a couple of weeks ago. Sam Ehlinger completed 22-of-48 passes for 321 yards, two touchdowns and four interceptions. Keaontay Ingram (71 rushing yards on 16 attempts) mounted the running attack while Devin Duvernay (eight receptions, 173 yards, one TD) and Collin Johnson (seven catches, 101 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the loss.

Kansas State has run the ball on 66.4 percent of its offensive plays this year, including 62.9 percent across possessions in conference play. Texas has an overall rush percentage of 48.8 percent, and has kept it on the ground 50.9 percent of the time against Big 12 opponents. The Wildcats have rushed for 217 yards/game (including 180 per game versus Big 12 opponents) and have 25 scores on the ground this year. The Longhorns are totaling 168 rush yards per contest (180 in conference) and have 16 total rushing TDs.

The Wildcats have averaged 172 yards in the air overall (170 per game against conference opposition) and have seven passing TDs so far. The Longhorns have put up 309 pass yards per game (284.4 in the Big 12) and have 23 total pass scores.

Kansas State seems to hold an edge when it comes to limiting the pass. The team has let opponents run for an average of 167 yards and pass for 186 yards per game. Texas has allowed 160.1 yards per game on the ground and 305.4 to opponents in the air. The Wildcats are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 5.10 to opponents, while the Longhorns have given up a 7.34 ANY/A.

Thompson has put up 1,123 pass yards this season. He’s completed 89-of-149 attempts with seven passing touchdowns and only one interception. Thompson has a 7.22 adjusted net yards per pass attempt.

In the host locker room, Sam Ehlinger has recorded 1,979 yards, 19 TDs and six INTs. Ehlinger’s ANY/A stands at 7.11 for the season and 6.09 over his last two outings.

When these two teams faced each other last year, Texas got the victory 19-14.

Kansas State Wildcats vs. Texas Longhorns NCAA Prediction

SU Winner – Kansas State, ATS Winner – Kansas State, O/U – Under

Notes

Team Betting Trends

The Wildcats offense has tallied one pass play of 40+ yards, while the Longhorns have put up eight such plays.

The Kansas State defense has allowed two pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Texas has given up 11 such plays.

The Kansas State offense has created 12 rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while Texas has created seven such runs.

The Wildcats defense has allowed 13 rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Longhorns have given up 10 such runs.

The Kansas State defense has sacked opposing quarterbacks 14 times this year. Texas has recorded 13 sacks.

Kansas State has produced 4.7 yards per carry across its last three outings and 5.3 over its last two.

Texas has averaged 4.3 yards per carry over its last three games and 5.1 over its past two.

In its last three matches, Texas is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.

The O/U for Kansas State’s last game was set at 53.5. The under cashed in the team’s 38-10 win over Kansas.

Over its last three contests, Kansas State is 3-0 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.

The O/U for Texas’ previous matchup going into it was 57. The over cashed in that 37-27 defeat to TCU.

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