No. 20 Boise State vs. Colorado State College Football Betting Pick 11/29/19

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The No. 20 Boise State Broncos (-13) are set to take on their conference nemesis Colorado State Rams at Canvas Stadium. CBS Sports Network has the TV rights and the game’s scheduled to get going at 3:30 p.m. ET.

No. 20 Boise State vs. Colorado State Betting Odds 11/29/2019

Boise State is favored by 13 points in this MWC matchup. The Broncos are currently getting -550 moneyline odds while the Rams are +375. There will probably be some good in-game betting opportunities for this matchup, and the over/under (O/U) has been placed at 57.5 points.

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The sharp action is siding with the Broncos, as the line opened at 12. The O/U has not moved after it was set initially at 57.5.

The Broncos are 10-1 straight up (SU), including 7-0 SU against MWC opponents. The Rams are 4-7 SU overall and 3-4 SU in conference play. Both of these teams have been profitable this year as the Broncos have gained 5.1 units while the Rams are up 1.3 units.

Boise State enters this matchup on a zero-game winless skid while Colorado State has won zero in a row. The Broncos are coming off a resounding 56-21 win over Utah State last week where Jaylon Henderson completed 16 passes for only 187 yards and three touchdowns. George Holani (178 rushing yards on 16 attempts, two TDs) and Andrew Van Buren (48 yards on 14 carries) provided the ground attack in the win while CT Thomas (five receptions, 36 yards, one TD) and John Hightower (three catches, 56 yards, one TD) shared the receiving duties.

On November 22, Wyoming took care of this Colorado State crew by a score of 17-7. The Rams defensive unit allowed the Cowboys to eat up the clock by rushing for 192 yards on 50 attempts, including two rush TDs. Xazavian Valladay had a good outing in the win, recording 154 rushing yards on 27 attempts for Wyoming. For Colorado State, Patrick O’Brien completed 17-of-29 passes for 217 yards, one touchdown and one interception. Jaylen Thomas (23 yards on 14 rush attempts) mounted the ground attack in the defeat as Warren Jackson (six receptions, 95 yards, one TD) and Trey McBride (six catches, 78 yards) led the pass-catching attack.

Boise State’s run the ball on 54.5 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Colorado State has an overall rush percentage of 48 percent. The Broncos have rushed for 184 yards/game (including 191 per game versus Mountain West opponents) and have 23 touchdowns via handoffs this year. The Rams are averaging 136 rushing yards per contest (95 in conference) and have 17 total rush TDs.

Judging by the numbers so far, it seems like the Broncos might have an edge when it comes to RB effectiveness, as their running backs has logged 4.7 yards per carry while their defense is allowing a YPC of 3.5 to opponents. The Rams have recorded 4.0 yards per carry and given up 4.9 YPC to opponents.

The Broncos have tallied 273 yards per contest through the air overall (255 per game against conference opposition) and have 26 passing scores so far. The Rams have produced 307 pass yards per game (284.9 against MWC competition) and have 19 total pass TDs.

On the defensive side of the ball, Boise State has allowed 117 rush yards and 229 pass yards per game. Colorado State has allowed 205.4 rushing yards per game and 175.1 to opposing teams in the air. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to the opposition, as the Broncos have given up an ANY/A of 5.88 to opposing QBs, while the Rams are yielding an ANY/A of 5.96.

Henderson is up to 275 passing yards this year. He’s connected on 23-of-40 attempts with four passing touchdowns and has yet to throw an interception. Henderson’s got a pristine 8.37 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 8.81 over the last two outings.

George Holani (797 rushing yards, seven rush TDs, two receiving touchdowns this season), John Hightower (686 receiving yards, six receiving TDs) and Khalil Shakir (546 receiving yards, four TDs) have each played significant roles lately.

In the hosts’ locker room, Patrick O’Brien has produced 2,167 yards, nine TDs and four INTs. O’Brien’s ANY/A stands at 7.75 for the season and 5.79 across his last two games.

Look for O’Brien to attack all areas of the Boise State secondary. Warren Jackson (947 receiving yards and seven receiving TDs this season), Trey McBride (393 receiving yards, two receiving TDs), and Dante Wright (669 receiving yards, three TDs) have collectively recorded 439 receiving yards and three scores over the last couple of games.

When these two squads faced each other last year, Boise State won by four touchdowns 56-28.

Boise State Broncos at Colorado State Rams Betting Pick

SU Winner – Boise State, ATS Winner – Boise State, O/U – Over

Notes

Betting Trends

The Colorado State offense has lost 13 fumbles this season while Boise State has lost seven.

The Boise State defense has sacked opposing quarterbacks 33 times this season. Colorado State has recorded just 27 sacks.

Boise State has produced 5.4 yards per carry over its past three games and 6.2 over its last two.

Colorado State has averaged 2.7 yards per carry over its last three contests and 1.4 over its last two.

In its last three matches, Colorado State is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in each of those three.

The Over/Under for Boise State’s last game going into it was 54. The over cashed in the team’s 56-21 win over Utah State.

In its last three games, Boise State is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.

The Over/Under for Colorado State’s previous matchup was 51. The under cashed in the 17-7 defeat to Wyoming.

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