The No. 2 Ohio State Buckeyes (-16) are coming into the Big Ten Championship Game as big favorites against the No. 10 Wisconsin Badgers. The matchup is scheduled to get underway at 8:00 p.m. ET and FOX will broadcast the action.
No. 2 Ohio State vs. No. 10 Wisconsin Betting Odds 12/7/2019
Ohio State is favored by 16 points in this Big 10 game. The Buckeyes are currently getting -1000 moneyline odds while the Badgers are +625. The over/under has been set at 53.5 points. Some good in-game betting opportunities could be unveiled during this matchup.
Betting odds have shifted slightly from when they were originally set. The line opened at -17 while the game’s total was initially placed at 54.
The Buckeyes are 12-0 straight up (SU), including 9-0 SU against Big 10 opponents. The Badgers are 10-2 SU overall and 7-2 SU in conference play. Each of these teams has been profitable this year as the Badgers are up 5.0 units and the Buckeyes have gained 6.0 units.
The Buckeyes are hoping to remain undefeated following a 56-27 win over Michigan last week where their secondary allowed the Wolverines to air it out for 305 yards. Hassan Haskins had a productive day for the Wolverines in that one with 78 rushing yards and a score on 12 attempts. On the offensive side, Justin Fields completed just 14-of-25 passes for 302 yards and four touchdowns. J.K. Dobbins (211 yards on 31 rush attempts, four TDs) and Master Teague III (29 yards on 12 carries) led the running attack in the win while Garrett Wilson (three receptions, 118 yards, one TD) and Austin Mack (three catches, 39 yards, one TD) handled the receiving duties.
Wisconsin just got a 38-17 win over Minnesota. The defensive secondary allowed the Golden Gophers to air it out for 296 yards and two touchdowns. Rashod Bateman had a good outing in the loss, recording 147 yards and a score on six catches for Minnesota. For Wisconsin, Jack Coan completed 15-of-22 passes for 280 yards and two touchdowns. Jonathan Taylor (76 rushing yards on 18 attempts, two TDs) mounted the ground game in the win as Quintez Cephus (five receptions, 114 yards, one TD) and Taylor (two catches, 39 yards, one TD) led the pass-catching attack.
When glancing at offensive play selection, each of these squads sports a similar run-pass ratio on the season. Ohio State has run the ball on 63.8 percent of its offensive possessions while Wisconsin has a rush percentage of 65.6. The Buckeyes, however, have produced 281 rush yards per game (including 293 per game versus Big Ten opponents) and have 37 touchdowns via handoffs this year. The Badgers haven’t been quite as successful, as they’re logging 244 rushing yards per contest (238 in conference) and have 34 total rush TDs.
If the results so far this season can translate to this game, then it seems like the Buckeyes ought to have the edge in terms of efficiency in the ground game, since their backfield has produced 5.8 yards per carry while their defense is allowing a YPC of 2.6 to opponents. The Badgers have registered 5.4 yards per carry and allowed a YPC of 3.3 to opponents.
The Buckeyes have tallied 254 yards per contest in the air overall (244 per game against conference opposition) and have 44 passing TDs so far. The Badgers have produced 199 pass yards per outing (179.0 against Big 10 foes) and have 17 total pass scores.
Defensively, Ohio State appears to have the upper hand when it comes to limiting the pass. The team has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 91 yards and pass for 141 yards per game. Wisconsin has allowed 96.6 rushing yards per game and 180.4 to opposing teams in the air. The Buckeyes are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 2.24 to opposing QBs, while the Badgers have given up a 4.08 ANY/A.
Coan has produced 2,106 yards, 15 TDs and three INTs. Coan’s adjusted net yards per pass attempt stands at 8.14 for the season and 12.14 over his last two games. In the other huddle, Fields has put up 2,466 passing yards this season, and has connected on 173-of-255 attempts with 35 passing touchdowns and only one interception. Fields has a pristine 10.99 ANY/A, including 11.33 over the last two games.
These two conference foes did not get a chance to face each other in 2018.
Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Wisconsin Badgers NCAA Pick
SU Winner – Buckeyes, ATS Winner – Buckeyes, O/U – Under
Team Betting Notes
The Over/Under for Ohio State’s last game was set at 53. The over cashed in the team’s 56-27 victory over Michigan.
Ohio State has averaged 4.6 yards per carry across its last three contests and 4.4 over its last two.
Wisconsin has averaged 6.6 yards per carry over its last three outings and 6.4 over its last two.
Wisconsin has lost 14 fumbles this season while Ohio State has let 12 get away.
In its last three matchups, Ohio State is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
The Over/Under for Wisconsin’s previous outing was set at 45. The over cashed in the 38-17 victory over Minnesota.
Over its last three games, Wisconsin is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in each of those three.
The Buckeyes offense has recorded eight pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Badgers have put up five such plays.
The Ohio State defense has allowed five pass plays of 40 yards or more, while Wisconsin has given up four such plays.
The Ohio State offense has created 33 rushing plays of 20+ yards, while Wisconsin has created 24 such runs.
The Buckeyes defense has allowed 11 rushing plays of 20+ yards, while the Badgers have given up 19 such runs.
The Ohio State defensive unit has sacked opposing QBs 49 times this year. Wisconsin has produced 44 sacks.