No. 18 Iowa at No. 16 Wisconsin College Football Betting Pick 11/9/19

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Last Updated: 2019-11-05

In a game featuring two schools that are nationally ranked in the Top 20, the No. 18 Iowa Hawkeyes (+9) are set to take on their in-conference rival No. 16 Wisconsin Badgers (-9) at Camp Randall Stadium. FOX will televise the action and kickoff is scheduled for 4:00 p.m. ET.

No. 18 Iowa at No. 16 Wisconsin Betting Odds 11/9/2019

The spread for this Big 10 matchup is sitting at 9 points in favor of Wisconsin. The Hawkeyes are currently getting +270 moneyline odds while the Badgers are -350. The over/under is set at 39 points. There will probably be some decent live betting scenarios in this game.

The early action has shifted in the direction of the Hawkeyes. The line opened at -10, while the game’s total has yet to move after it was initially established at 39.

The Hawkeyes are 6-2 straight up (SU), including 3-2 SU against Big 10 opponents. The Badgers are 6-2 SU overall and 3-2 SU in conference play. Each of these teams has posted a positive return this year as both the Badgers and the Hawkeyes are up exactly 2.0 units so far.

Wisconsin comes into this contest on a zero-game winning streak while Iowa has lost zero straight. The Hawkeyes want to keep things rolling after a 20-0 victory over Northwestern on October 26. The Hawkeyes defense did its part in the win, holding the Wildcats to just 138 passing yards and 64 rushing yards. On the offensive side, Nate Stanley completed only 12 passes on 26 attempts for 179 yards and one touchdown. Mekhi Sargent (only 46 rushing yards on 15 attempts, one TD) and Tyler Goodson (58 yards on 11 carries) led the running attack while Ihmir Smith-Marsette (three receptions, 20 yards) and Tyrone Tracy Jr. (two catches, 88 yards, one TD) handled the receiving duties in the win.

Wisconsin just fell 38-7 to Ohio State. Jack Coan completed 10-of-17 passes for 108 yards and one touchdown. Jonathan Taylor (52 rushing yards on 20 attempts) led the running game as Quintez Cephus (three receptions, 57 yards) led the pass-catching attack in the loss.

Iowa has run the ball on 52.5 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Wisconsin has a rush percentage of 64.7 percent. The Hawkeyes have produced 146 rush yards/game (including 98 per game against Big Ten opponents) and have 10 scores on the ground this year. The Badgers are logging 216 rush yards per contest (190 in conference) and have 24 total rushing TDs.

It appears that the Badgers might own the edge in all aspects of the ground game, as their running backs has generated 4.8 yards per carry while their defense has allowed a YPC of 2.8 to opponents. The Hawkeyes have ran for 3.9 yards per carry while allowing 3.1 yards per rush attempt to opponents.

The Hawkeyes have averaged 247 yards in the air overall (246 per game versus conference opposition) and have 10 passing scores so far. The Badgers have produced 196 pass yards per outing (158.6 in the Big 10) and also have 10 total pass TDs.

Defensively, Iowa has allowed 88 rush yards and 178 pass yards per game. Wisconsin has allowed 84.1 rushing yards per game and 139.4 to opposing teams in the air. The Badgers are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 2.52 to opposing QBs, while the Hawkeyes have given up a 4.57 ANY/A.

Stanley has put up 1,690 passing yards this year, and has completed 136-of-229 attempts with 10 passing touchdowns and four interceptions. Stanley’s got a 6.31 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 6.48 over the last two outings.

For the home team, Jack Coan has recorded 1,227 yards, nine TDs and one INT. Coan’s ANY/A stands at 7.82 for the year and 5.80 over his past two outings.

When these two teams met a year ago, Wisconsin emerged victorious by a score of 28-17.

Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Wisconsin Badgers Free Pick

SU Winner – Wisconsin, ATS Winner – Wisconsin, O/U – Over

Notes

Team Betting Trends

The Hawkeyes offense has produced five pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Badgers have accounted for one such play.

The Iowa defense has allowed five pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Wisconsin has given up two such plays.

The Iowa offense has created seven rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Wisconsin has created 14 such runs.

The Hawkeyes defense has allowed zero rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Badgers have given up 10 such runs.

The Wisconsin defense has produced twice as many sacks as Iowa this season (32 to 16).

Iowa has averaged 2.9 yards per rush attempt over its last three outings and 3.1 over its last two.

Wisconsin has averaged 3.7 yards per carry over its last three games and 3.1 over its last two.

In its last three games, Wisconsin is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in each of those three.

The O/U for Iowa’s last game was set at 36. The under cashed in the team’s 20-0 victory over Northwestern.

In its last three contests, Iowa is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in each of those three.

The Over/Under for Wisconsin’s previous game was set at 46. The under cashed in that 38-7 loss to Ohio State.

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