Last Updated: 2019-11-05
The No. 2 Alabama Crimson Tide are set to take on the No. 1 LSU Tigers in a showdown where one winning streak is going to hit nine games. Kickoff for this important conference showdown is set for 3:30 p.m. ET and fans can catch it live by tuning in to CBS.
No. 1 LSU at No. 2 Alabama Betting Odds 11/9/2019
This SEC game’s spread is sitting at 7 points in favor of Alabama. The Tigers are currently getting +210 moneyline odds while the Crimson Tide are -270. The over/under has been set at 64.5 points. If one team finds paydirt in the early stages, it will probably create a reasonable betting opportunity in-game.
The Tigers are 8-0 straight up (SU), including 4-0 SU against SEC opponents. The Crimson Tide are 8-0 SU overall and 5-0 SU in conference play. The surprising Tigers have gained 4.0 units so far in 2019 and are 5-2-1 against the spread (ATS). The team has posted an O/U record of 5-3.
The Crimson Tide are up 1.0 unit this season. They’re 4-4 ATS and have an even O/U record of 4-4.
When these two programs faced each other last year, Alabama knocked off LSU handily 29-0.
The Tigers are hoping to stay unbeaten following a 23-20 victory over Auburn on October 26Their defense allowed the Tigers to run for 130 yards on 33 rush attempts, along with one rushing TD. D.J. Williams had a productive day for Auburn in that one with 130 rushing yards on 13 attempts. Offensively, Joe Burrow completed 32-of-42 passes for 321 yards, as well as a score and a pick. Clyde Edwards-Helaire (136 rushing yards on 26 attempts, one TD) and the signal-caller Burrow (31 yards on 13 carries, one TD) led the ground attack. Ja’Marr Chase (eight receptions, 123 yards) and Justin Jefferson (seven catches, 60 yards) handled the receiving duties in the win.
The Alabama Tide are coming off of a blowout 48-7 win over Arkansas. The defense allowed the Razorbacks to run for 106 yards on 30 rush attempts. Rakeem Boyd was a bright spot in the loss for Arkansas, recording 50 rushing yards on 12 attempts, along with 55 yards on four catches. As a group, the Tide collectively completed 24-of-30 passes for 280 yards and three touchdowns. Mac Jones went 18-for-22 for 235 yards and three touchdowns while Taulia Tagovailoa was six-of-eight for 45 yards. Brian Robinson Jr. (67 yards on 13 rush attempts) and Najee Harris (86 yards on 13 carries, two TDs) mounted the running game while Jerry Jeudy (seven receptions, 103 yards, two TDs) and Jaylen Waddle (five catches, 39 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the win.
Each of these squads sports a similar run-pass ratio on the season. LSU has run the ball on 49.1 percent of its offensive possessions while Alabama has an overall rush percentage of 50.9. The Tigers have produced 158 rush yards per game (including 168 per game versus Southeastern opponents) and have 17 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Tide are totaling 168 rush yards per contest (141 in conference) and have 16 total rushing TDs.
The Tigers have logged a ridiculous 378 yards per contest through the air overall (340 per game versus conference opposition) and have 30 passing scores so far. The Tide have recorded 339 pass yards per game (343.8 against SEC foes) and have 32 total pass TDs.
On the defensive side of the ball, LSU has allowed 98 rush yards and 218 pass yards per game. Alabama has allowed 127.4 rushing yards per game and 180.1 to opponents in the air. The Tide are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 3.8 to opponents, while the Tigers have allowed a 4.90 ANY/A.
Burrow is already up to 2,478 pass yards this year, and has connected on 180-of-228 attempts with 26 passing touchdowns and only four interceptions. Burrow’s got a pristine 11.43 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 8.31 over the past two outings.
In the home locker room, Mac Jones has accounted for 400 yards, four TDs and one INT. Jones’ ANY/A stands at 10.12 for the year and 10.50 over his last two outings.
LSU Tigers vs. Alabama Crimson Tide NCAA Prediction
SU Winner – Alabama, ATS Winner – Alabama, O/U – Under
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Team Betting Trends
The Tigers have made 20 pass plays of 30+ yards while the Crimson Tide have accounted for 19 such plays.
The LSU defense has allowed two pass plays of 40+ yards, while Alabama has given up one such play.
The LSU offense has created 11 rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while Alabama has created seven such runs.
The Tigers defense has allowed four rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Crimson Tide have given up 12 such runs.
The LSU defense has 20 sacks on the year while Alabama has 19.
LSU has rushed for 5.2 yards per attempt over its last three games and 3.8 over its last two.
Alabama has averaged 4.6 yards per carry over its last three outings and 4.4 over its last two.
In its last three matchups, Alabama is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
The O/U for LSU’s last game was set at 59. The under cashed in the team’s 23-20 triumph over Auburn.
In its last three matchups, LSU is 1-1-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
The O/U for Alabama’s last game going into it was 56. The under cashed in the 48-7 win over Arkansas.