Betting on today’s Colonels and Lions game? Catch the action at The Field House in Commerce, TX, as the Lions hosts this showdown at 2:00 ET on ESPN+. The over/under for this game is set at 138.5 points, and Texas A&M-Commerce is favored by -1.5 vs. Nicholls in a Southland conference matchup.


The Pick: Texas A&M-Commerce Lions -1.5

This game will be played at The Field House at 2:00 ET on Saturday, January 27th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-70 in favor of the Lions.
  • Not only will Texas A&M-Commerce pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -1.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 138.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 146 points.

Can the Colonels Lock in a Win at Commerce?

After losing 69-59 to Texas A&M-Corpus Christi, Nicholls Colonels will look to get back on track against Texas A&M-Commerce. So far this season, Nicholls Colonels have gone 9-10 and 3-2 in Southland Conference play. On the road, they are 3-8, and their average scoring margin is -8.9 points per game.

As underdogs, Nicholls Colonels have gone 2-8 this season. They have gone 2-1 in their last three road games, 2-3 in their last five, and 3-7 in their last 10.

Against the spread, Nicholls has a record of 7-8 this season. On the road, they are 6-5 vs. the spread. As the underdog, their ATS mark is 6-4 this year.

This season, the over/under record for Nicholls games is 7-8 and the average scoring total in their games is 149.5. Today’s over/under line of 138.5 is lower than the average OU line in their games this year (145.1). Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and their average scoring total in those games is 143 points.

In their most recent game, the Nicholls offense put up just 59 points vs. the Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders. Overall, they are now averaging 73.4 points per game which is 242nd in the country. Diante Smith led the team in scoring, putting up 20 points. Additionally, Jamal West Jr. contributed 12 points for the Colonels.

The Colonels’ defense is presently ranked 237th nationally, allowing an average of 75.5 points per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Nicholls’ defense has allowed opponents to shoot 37.4% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 25.4% this season.

Can the Texas A&M-Commerce Offense Score Enough at Home?

After a loss to Lamar, Texas A&M-Commerce will try to avoid a three-game home losing streak as they host Nicholls as 1.5-point favorites. The Lions’ home record this season is 2-3.

So far this season, Texas A&M-Commerce has gone 7-11, including a 1-4 record in Southland Conference play. Over their last 10 games at home, the Lions have gone 5-5.

As the favorite this season, Texas A&M-Commerce has an ATS record of just 1-2. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Lions have gone just 1-9 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 138.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Texas A&M-Commerce’s games this season (142.8). So far, 10 of their 18 games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 0-3 and the average scoring total is 131 points.

In their most recent game, the Texas A&M-Commerce offense concluded with only 65 points against Lamar. Throughout the game, they made 9/39 three-point attempts and had a field goal percentage of 35.8%. Kalen Williams is leading the team in scoring at 14.3 points per contest. Jerome Brewer Jr. has also been a key contributor with a PPG average of 14.1 going into the game.

So far, the Lions’ defense is ranked 192nd in the country at 73.2 points per contest. So far, the Texas A&M-Commerce defense is giving up an average of 9.9 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 11.6 times per game (543rd).