Don’t miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Purple Eagles and Red Foxes. The game is starting at 2:00 ET on ESPN+, and it’s hosted by the Red Foxes at McCann Center in Poughkeepsie, NY. Get ready to place your bets! The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 130.5 points, and Marist is favored by -3.5 to win at home against Niagara.


The Pick: Marist Red Foxes -3.5

This game will be played at McCann Center at 2:00 ET on Saturday, March 9th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-69 in favor of the Red Foxes.
  • Not only will Marist pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -3.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 130.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.

Does Niagara Have a Shot at a Road Win?

As the underdog, Niagara is 8-6 this season. On the road, the Purple Eagles are 10-5, and they have won four of their last five games away from home.

Overall, Niagara is 15-14, and they are coming off a 66-59 win over Siena. So far, they have gone 11-8 in Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference play.

As the underdog, Niagara has been fantastic vs. the spread this season, going 11-3. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Purple Eagles have an impressive ATS record of 9-1.

The over/under record for Niagara games this season is 15-12-1. Today’s over/under line of 130.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games this year (139.6). So far, 22 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 139 points.

The Niagara offense, in their latest game, managed to score just 66 points versus Siena. During the game, they attempted 20 three-point shots and had a field goal percentage of 47.8%. The team’s top scorer is Ahmad Henderson II, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 12.3, while Braxton Bayless also carries a PPG average of 11.5 into the game.

In terms of defense, Niagara is currently on par with the NCAA average for points allowed, giving up an average of 72.9 points per game. Niagara will look once again to perform well on defense, holding Siena to just 38% shooting in their most recent game.

Can the Red Foxes Please their Home Crowd?

Marist has been a much better team at home this season, going 8-4 compared to 8-8 on the road. They have also been favored in 15 of their 28 games, going 11-4 in those contests.

Over their last 10 games at home, the Red Foxes have gone 6-4, and they are coming off a 73-64 loss to Quinnipiac.

Marist has an overall ATS record of 16-12 this season, including a home ATS mark of 7-5. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Red Foxes have gone just 4-6 vs. the spread.

This season, the over/under record for Marist games is 8-19-1. So far, their games have averaged 127 points compared to an average over/under line of 132.5, resulting in an average margin of -5.4 points. Today’s over/under line of 130.5 is lower than the average scoring total in their games this year and in their last three games, the over/under record is 0-2-1.

In their recent game, the Red Foxes’ offense concluded with 64 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 64.8 points per contest. The top scorer for the Red Foxes was Jackson Price with 12 points, while Javon Cooley also added 11 to the scoreboard.

Marist’s defense has been playing well, ranking 8th nationally, with 62.2 points allowed per game. In today’s game, the Marist defense will be looking to once again do a good job defending the three-point line, as they gave up just 4 three-pointers while giving up 73 points.