Last Updated: 2018-01-01
For the second straight night, a totals bet came up short by a 5-0 score, which is pretty much how things have gone this season, but it’s still early and time to get things turned around. With just the one game on the slate today, we’ll be able to look at a few things that have transpired so far this season.
October was a huge scoring month in the NHL, with 6.2 goals per game the average score. As a result, games with totals of 5.5 were 74-54 in totals and those games with a total of 6 went 22-14-4.
November saw scoring come down to 5.9 goals per game and totals of 5.5 were just 52-71, while those games with a total of 6 were 37-36-7. So while there were just 40 games with a total of 6 in October, we saw twice that number in November, despite a downward trend in scoring.
Scoring was down even more in December, where the average score was 5.7 goals. Oddsmakers caught on, as there were only 53 games with a total of 6 and 157 games that saw the posted total of 5.5. Games with a 5.5 toal went 73-84, while those games with a total of 6 went 26-22-5.
Last season, January was the highest-scoring month of the season, but there really isn’t anything historical to back that up and it’s probably just as likely that January sees a reduction in scoring as it is that it increases over December.
New York Rangers at Buffalo: We have another edition of the Winter Classic, this time with the New York Rangers and the Buffalo Sabres in what is a home game for Buffalo at Citi Field. At one time something you wanted to watch, the novelty factor of the Winter Classic has worn off a bit, especially since the league has added the Stadium Series, Heritage Classic and outdoor games aren’t the big deal they were not too long ago.
The Rangers are -160 and the tot is 5.5-under (-125). The Sabres may be breaking out of their scoring slump a bit, scoring four goals in three of their last six games, but just four goals in the other three. The Rangers have been outscored 6-5 over their last three games.
The Rangers haven’t been as effective on the road and even though it’s a game they’ll have the most fans at, can’t be considered a true home game. The Sabres have labored to put the puck in the net all season, so will have to take the under in this one.
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