Last Updated: 2017-10-14
Picks 26 through 30 are now in for the Westgate SuperContest for all of the competitors that are in the world’s greatest handicapping contest. It’s hard to believe that we are already six weeks into the season. It has been an eventful six weeks for SuperContest entrants, especially with the largest field in history and the new wrinkle of the SuperContest Gold.
Here at BangTheBook.com, we’ve been on top of things all season long and will continue to be through the end of Week 17. We’re following the 2,748 entrants in the traditional SuperContest and the 94 entrants in the SuperContest Gold. We’re doing everything that we can to keep you up to date on the latest and also to follow along with our progress in this year’s tournament. Things are off to a decent start for us, as the BangTheBook.com entry has a 14-11 mark and the Bang The Book Podcast entry is on the plus side of .500 at 13-12.
You’ll get SuperContest coverage every Saturday with this preview and consensus article, a recap article on Tuesday with the results for our entries and both fields, and also our Westgate SuperContest Selections segment on the Friday edition of BangTheBook Radio with host Adam Burke and Sports Cheetah through the end of the regular season.
As we head into Week 6, the field is ahead of last season’s pace. All picks in the traditional SuperContest are 32,636-34,170-1,634 for a 48.85 percent success rate. Last season at this point, the field was at 46.63 percent. The BangTheBook.com entry was 13-12 and the Bang The Book Podcast entry was 10-15.
The first annual SuperContest Gold, which is a winner-take-all event with a $5,000 buy-in, sits at 1,173-1,086-66 on the year for a 51.93 percent success rate. After a tough Week 1, the field has hit at least 51.4 percent of its picks since Week 2.
Cali Cappers sits atop the standings with a 20-5 record. Seoul Cycle is at 19-5-1. Nine entries are 19-6 and eight entries are at 18-6-1. One point is awarded for a win, a half-point for a push, and, obviously, zero points for a loss. In the SuperContest Gold, BKSF leads the way at 20-5.
Over the last three weeks, our two BangTheBook entries are each 11-4, so we have had a nice turnaround after a slow start to the season. We’re hoping that it continues here in Week 6 with these selections:
10122 BangTheBook.com (14-11, 56%)
12 VIKINGS +3
13 RAVENS -6.5
20 CARDINALS +2.5
24 CHARGERS +3.5
28 COLTS +6.5
10124 Bang The Book Podcast (13-12, 52%)
7 FALCONS -11.5
9 SAINTS -5
12 VIKINGS +3
18 RAMS +2.5
24 CHARGERS +3.5
This was a difficult card, with two games that remained off the board as of Saturday morning. Interestingly, both of them are on the card in one way or another, with both entries on the Chargers and one entry on the Colts. We also have a lot of double-digit chalk this week. One of those teams made the card. There are no opposite sides this week after Adam got bragging rights on the Jaguars/Steelers matchup last week.
You can hear more about Adam’s thought process for the Bang The Book Podcast entry on this week’s Friday edition of BangTheBook Radio.
Through six weeks, the consensus sits at 36-38-2 in the traditional SuperContest, with the same number of picks in last week’s game between the Patriots and Buccaneers. The top-five consensus is just 10-15 this year. On the Gold side, the consensus is 42-33-2 with a top-five mark of 11-14.
Here are the lines and pick counts for Week 6:
1 Panthers* 206 (7)
2 Eagles (+3.5) 298 (10) WIN
3 Texans* 415 (8)
4 Browns (+9.5) 449 (29) (Gold #2)
5 Patriots 521 (14)
6 Jets* (+9) 493 (11)
7 Falcons* 644 (17)
8 Dolphins (+11.5) 181 (4)
9 Saints* 579 (12)
10 Lions (+5) 779 (consensus #3)(27) (Gold #4)
11 Packers 970 (consensus #2) (18)
12 Vikings* (+3) 409 (19)
13 Ravens* 523 (20)
14 Bears (+6.5) 383 (14)
15 Redskins* 358 (19)
16 49ers (+10) 516 (14)
17 Jaguars* 493 (19)
18 Rams (+2.5) 701 (consensus #5) (15)
19 Buccaneers 444 (9)
20 Cardinals* (+2.5) 558 (27) (Gold #3)
21 Chiefs* 572(11)
22 Steelers (+4.5) 993 (consensus #1) (48) (Gold #1)
23 Raiders* 186 (9)
24 Chargers (+3.5) 613 (20)
25 Broncos* 716 (consensus #4) (12)
26 Giants (+11.5) 244 (25) (Gold #5)
27 Titans* 173 (7)
28 Colts (+6.5) 263 (15)
The top-five consensus is the Pittsburgh Steelers, Green Bay Packers, Detroit Lions, Denver Broncos, Los Angeles Rams.
The Eagles are already a winner for the consensus on both sides. We’ve been following along with the differences between the traditional SuperContest consensus and the SuperContest Gold consensus. Those picks are 18-10 on the year to the Gold side so far. The games that fit that criteria this week are Broncos/Giants, Jaguars/Rams, Redskins/49ers, and Packers/Vikings.
Follow along each week with our SuperContest preview article on Saturday and our recap article on Tuesday. Check out our Friday editions of BangTheBook Radio for the Westgate SuperContest Selections segment with host Adam Burke and guest Collin Wilson, who has an entry of his own in the SuperContest and a team entry in the Gold with Sports Cheetah, who returns to the show next week.
-END OF 2017 WEEK 6 UPDATE-
Momentum is a big point of contention in the sports world. Perhaps the Westgate SuperContest field can build and sustain some over the next few weeks. After a horrible start to the season for many of the contest’s 1,854 entrants, last week’s 53.95 percent success rate might be the start of some better fortunes. The season-to-date numbers are still ugly, but this was a big hole to crawl out of and, unfortunately, one of our two BangTheBook entries has a big hole to start crawling out of this week.
This 17-week grind is entering its sixth week of frustration, elation, and trepidation. That means that only 25 of the 85 picks are in the books, so just about anything can happen. With sixty more selections left to be made, that means that only about 30 percent of the season has been completed. That should provide some optimism for some of the groups that have gotten off to a rough start. It can be hard to make up ground in a tournament like this, but there will be opportunities to grab a share of the $2,620,500 prize pool.
Here at BangTheBook, we have two entries in the field. Our 7226 BangTheBook.com entry, owned by our fearless leader, Ryan, is 13-12 on the season after a strong 4-1 showing last week. Unfortunately, our 7227 BangTheBook Podcast entry took it on the chin with an 0-5 record last week to drop to 10-15. After a 7-3 start, the guys are only 3-12 over the last three weeks. Changes were made to the handicapping philosophy this week.
As mentioned, Week 5 was actually a good one for most of the field, even though the top two consensus picks lost. Out of the 4,245 losing picks, losses from the Cincinnati Bengals and the Philadelphia Eagles accounted for 1,409 of them. Week 1 had previously been the only solid week at 52.62 percent. Week 2 checked in at 45.18 percent, with Week 3 at 40.19 percent, and Week 4 at 42.76 percent. On the whole, the SuperContest field is at 46.63 percent for the season.
Here are the BangTheBook Westgate SuperContest Selections for Week 6:
7226 BangTheBook.com (13-12, 52%)
5 GIANTS -3
18 BROWNS +7
21 CHIEFS PK
23 SEAHAWKS -6.5
29 CARDINALS -7.5
7227 BangTheBook Podcast (10-15, 40%)
5 GIANTS -3
11 BEARS -2.5
15 LIONS -3.5
21 CHIEFS PK
25 PACKERS -4.5
A site-wide 10-0 is a possibility here this week, as the entries do not have any competing sides. That would certainly be great. For more insight on the BangTheBook Podcast card, please listen to this week’s Westgate SuperContest Selections segment from the Friday October 14 edition of BangTheBook Radio.
Looking to build off of the aforementioned momentum of last week’s strong showing, here’s how the SuperContest picks shake out for Week 6 (top-five consensus in bold):
San Diego (+3) WIN 123
New England 343
Cincinnati (+8.5) 312
New York Giants 355
Baltimore (+3) 245
New Orleans (+3) 387
Miami (+7.5) 345
Jacksonville (+2.5) 348
San Francisco (+7.5) 234
Los Angeles (+3.5) 384
Cleveland (+7) 225
Philadelphia 410 (consensus #5)
Washington (+2.5) 365
Kansas City 704 (consensus #1)
Oakland (PK) 330
Seattle 450 (consensus #2)
Atlanta (+6.5) 404
Green Bay 448 (consensus #3)
Dallas (+4.5) 329
Houston 424 (consensus #4)
Indianapolis (+3) 179
New York Jets (+7.5) 239
The top-five consensus for this week is the Kansas City Chiefs, Seattle Seahawks, Green Bay Packers, Houston Texans, and Philadelphia Eagles. The Chiefs were the most popular pick by a large margin, as the field was fairly split on some of the sides.
The top-five consensus finally had a winning week last week, although the top two picks lost, so the combined record of the five most selected sides was just 1,478-1,409. The top-five consensus is just 7-18 on the season through five weeks of the contest. Fading the consensus has been profitable thus far.
The overall consensus record, the sides with more picks in each game, was cashing at just a 44.74 percent clip heading into Week 6. One game, Pittsburgh vs. Washington in Week 1, has thrown everything off because each side was picked 322 times.
Follow along with us each and every week at BangTheBook.com and also on BangTheBook Radio. Adam Burke and Cole Ryan share general NFL handicapping analysis and free picks on Wednesdays on The Gridiron Gambling Report and then share their SuperContest thoughts and selections on Friday editions of the show.