NFL Westgate SuperContest Picks & Consensus Week 4

Last Updated: 2018-10-02

westgate supercontest week 4Week 4 represents the quarter pole for most of the NFL teams, but it makes up a little less than 25 percent of the required selections in the Westgate SuperContest. Picks 16 through 20 will be submitted this week as the 3,123 contestants try to crack the code that is another weekend in the NFL. It takes 85 picks over 17 weeks to crown a champion in this contest, so we still have a long way to go.

With an even larger field this season, getting off to a good start is even more important than it has been in past years. One of our traditional entries is off to a good start, as the BangTheBook entry is 9-5-1. The BangTheBook Podcast entry is 6-8-1, but host Adam Burke had some solid thoughts on the card and some strong opinions on our Friday edition of BangTheBook Radio.

This is the second year of the SuperContest Gold and we are in that field for the first time. Our BangTheBook.com entry is also 9-5-1 and had a share of the lead heading into Week 3. We are 1.5 points off of the pace now after last week’s 2-3 record.

As long as you don’t bury yourself early, you have the chance to make some noise in this tournament, which is a lot like the World Series of Poker. You need to run really well in those games that are coming down to the ATS wire in the fourth quarter and run a hell of a lot better than 50 percent in those coin flip types of games.

You already know the format by now. Five games, ATS, stale numbers released on Wednesday. One point for a win, a half-point for a push, ridicule for a loss. The top 100 plus ties will make some money in the traditional SuperContest and the Gold is winner-take-all. The total prize pool is just over $4.3 million in the traditional and first place will get $1.44 million. There will be quarterly prizes handed out after Week 4, Week 8, Week 12, and then the Mini Contest Weeks 15 through 17, so there are some additional incentives. The prize pool in the Gold is $640,000.

So far, the field is 22835-22802-1063 for a 50.04 percent success rate. The Gold field is 982-885-43 for a 52.60 percent success rate. The top-five consensus is 7-8 in the traditional and 8-7-1 in the Gold, as we had two picks tie as the fifth-most-selected sides in Week 2. The consensus is 20-27-1 in the traditional and 27-17-1 in the Gold.

As mentioned above, we have three entries overall in the SuperContest, with two in the traditional and one in the Gold. BangTheBook and BangTheBook Podcast in the traditional and BangTheBook.com in the Gold.

Here are our Week 4 picks:

BangTheBook (9-5-1, 64.29%)

8 Bengals +5

12 Lions +3

15 Bears -3

19 Seahawks -3

30 Broncos +5

 

BangTheBook Podcast (6-8-1, 42.86%)

8 Bengals +5

14 Jets +7.5

15 Bears -3

19 Seahawks -3

26 Giants +3.5

 

BangTheBook.com (9-5-1, 64.29%)

8 Bengals +5

15 Bears -3

19 Seahawks -3

26 Giants +3.5

30 Broncos +5

It will be interesting to see how the pick counts shake out this week because they were extremely spread out last week. The three entries match across the board with the Bengals, as it looks like it will be a popular pick to fade the severely-injured Atlanta defense. The Bears and Seahawks also appear on all three cards, as a fade of the Cardinals will likely be very popular as well. The Broncos and Giants are sharp sides in sharp vs. public splits and those round out the Gold entry.

Be sure to give this week’s SuperContest segment a listen, as Adam discussed the reasons why he is looking to play the five teams that he has chosen this week.

This was the most popular Thursday Night Football Game of the season to date and the consensus is off to a 0-0-1 start with a push in that TNF game.

Here are the lines, pick counts, and consensus for Week 4:

1 Rams* 201 (7)

2 Vikings (+7) 413 (22) PUSH

 

3 Patriots* 681 (33)

4 Dolphins (+6.5) 428 (17)

 

5 Colts* 813 (consensus #5) (22)

6 Texans (+1) 547 (27)

 

7 Falcons* 268 (8)

8 Bengals (+5) 952 (consensus #2) (44) (Gold #3)

 

9 Packers* 405 (19)

10 Bills (+9.5) 231 (10)

 

11 Cowboys* 488 (23)

12 Lions (+3) 567 (22)

 

13 Jaguars* 455 (13)

14 Jets (+7.5) 250 (9)

 

15 Bears* 595 (28)

16 Buccaneers (+3) 402 (19)

 

17 Eagles 545 (14)

18 Titans* (+4) 488 (31)

 

19 Seahawks 740 (34) (Gold #5)

20 Cardinals (+3) 268 (11)

 

21 Raiders* 1110 (consensus #1) (47) (Gold #2)

22 Browns (+2.5) 376 (16)

 

23 Chargers* 556 (14)

24 49ers (+10) 189 (11)

 

25 Saints 441 (7)

26 Giants* (+3.5) 846 (consensus #4) (40) (Gold #4)

 

27 Steelers* 407 (11)

28 Ravens (+3) 516 (22)

 

29 Chiefs 559 (10)

30 Broncos (+5) 863 (consensus #3) (49) (Gold #1)

The top-five consensus in the traditional SuperContest is the Oakland Raiders, Cincinnati Bengals, Denver Broncos, New York Giants, and Indianapolis Colts.

The top-five consensus bounced back at 3-2 last week to improve to 7-8 on the season. The top-five consensus went 0-5 in Week 2 and the field hit at 38.5 percent as a result. The consensus record was 10-6 last week and sits at 20-27-1 on the season.

The top-five consensus in the SuperContest Gold is the Denver Broncos, Oakland Raiders, Cincinnati Bengals, New York Giants, and Seattle Seahawks.

Last week’s top-five record was 4-1, as it was a strong week for the Gold field with an 11-4 consensus record. The Giants/Texans game had the same number of picks to become the third such game this season. The consensus record is 27-17-1 through three weeks.

Follow along with our SuperContest picks every week at BangTheBook.com in this Saturday article and with the BangTheBook Podcast entry on Fridays during the Westgate SuperContest Selections segment.

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