NFL Westgate SuperContest Picks & Consensus Week 17

Last Updated: 2017-08-30

As 2016 comes to an end, 2017 begins with a Week 17 slate full of intrigue. No matter the playoff scenarios and situations in the NFL, there’s always something to be decided in the Westgate SuperContest. This season, everything is on the line. The full-season contest comes down to this week and so does the Mini Contest. The top 50 entries plus ties will get compensated for their efforts over this test of handicapping wills from the prize pool of over $2.5 million. The top record(s) in the $20,000 Mini Contest will have something to show for their strong showing over the final three weeks.

Before I dive into our picks, the picks for the field as a whole, and other minutia, I need to take a few minutes to thank some people. First, to our site creator Ryan for the wonderful opportunity to be part of this great event for the second straight season. It’s an honor and a privilege. Second, to my SuperContest entry partner Cole Ryan. It’s been a tough season for us in a lot of ways, but I appreciate the banter and the hard work that you put in each and every week. Third, to our SuperContest proxy Vegas Matty of FootballContest.com. It can be stressful to be responsible for the correct entry of dozens of SuperContest selections and your efforts are very much appreciated. Finally, to our BangTheBook.com readers and radio show listeners. Though things didn’t go as hoped, I appreciate each and every one of you that have followed along throughout the season and I wish you and your families and friends a prosperous and healthy New Year.

It’s going to be a stressful Sunday for everybody with a chance at some winnings. Orange Crush leads the way with 52.5 points. BNEV and Greybeard are tied for second place with 51 points. There are nine entries with 50.5 points. One entry has 50 points. Eight entries have 49.5 points. Seven entries have 49 points. Ten entries have 48.5 points. The cut-off for the money is 48 points and there are a lot of entries with that magic number.

J Reno and Team NESN are tied for the Mini Contest lead with 9-0-1 records. Three others are 9-1 over the last two weeks. Five entries are 8-1-1 and a lot of entries are 8-2. If there is a tie for the Mini Contest, the entries will split the $20,000 prize. If not, somebody is $20,000 richer…before taxes, of course.

Before we look at our SuperContest picks for the final week, let’s take a look at how the field has done this season week-by-week and overall:

Week 1 – 52.62%

Week 2 – 45.18%

Week 3 – 40.19%

Week 4 – 42.76%

Week 5 – 53.95%

Week 6 – 55.01%

Week 7 – 51.36%

Week 8 – 51.50%

Week 9 – 45.80%

Week 10 – 40.67%

Week 11 – 55.40%

Week 12 – 58.63%

Week 13 – 51.75%

Week 14 – 56.57%

Week 15 – 52.44%

Week 16 – 48.00%

The contest field is 70,693-70,733-4,654 for a 49.99 percent success rate.

As we put the finishing touches on our 7226 BangTheBook.com and 7227 BangTheBook Podcast entries, we don’t have a shot at the money. Nevertheless, each week is a point of pride and we’re still putting in as much work in Week 17 as we did in Week 1 or Week 8 or Week 12. The fact of the matter is that we don’t quit in this event and never will.

Without further adieu, here are the Week 17 selections for our two entries:

7226 BangTheBook.com (43-35-2, 55.13%)

3 BILLS -3.5

10 LIONS +3.5

12 JAGUARS +4.5

13 EAGLES -4

16 BEARS +5

7227 BangTheBook Podcast (37-41-2, 47.44%)

16 BEARS +5

17 BUCCANEERS -6

19 STEELERS -6

22 SAINTS +6.5

28 CHARGERS +6

For more insight on the BangTheBook Podcast selections, we encourage you to listen to this week’s Westgate SuperContest Selections segment from the December 30 edition of BangTheBook Radio. The guys included additional thoughts on every other game in the Rapid Fire Rundown segment.

This is a really interesting week in a lot of ways. The entries playing for the money have to pick winners, obviously, but also have to consider trying to fade the consensus or get creative with their selections. There are also a lot of teams with nothing to play for in the NFL this week and motivation is a hard thing to determine. We’ll have to see how it all plays out, but it won’t lack drama.

With the stage set and the standings covered, here’s a look at the Week 17 pick counts (top-five consensus in bold):

Tennessee 155

Houston (+3.5) 244

Buffalo 196

New York Jets (+3.5) 178

Cincinnati 147

Baltimore (+2) 389 (consensus #4)

Washington 226

New York Giants (+7.5) 318

Green Bay 538 (consensus #1)

Detroit (+3.5) 405 (consensus #3)

Indianapolis 318

Jacksonville (+4.5) 184

Philadelphia 240

Dallas (+4) 168

Minnesota 189

Chicago (+5) 180

Tampa Bay 134

Carolina (+6) 350

Pittsburgh 251

Cleveland (+6) 140

Atlanta 318

New Orleans (+6.5) 313

New England 172

Miami (+9.5) 417 (consensus #2)

Arizona 244

Los Angeles (+6) 101

Kansas City 320

San Diego (+6) 271

Seattle 272

San Francisco (+9.5) 102

Denver 374 (consensus #5)

Oakland (+1) 221

The top five consensus is the Green Bay Packers, Miami Dolphins, Detroit Lions, Baltimore Ravens, and Denver Broncos. With opposite top-five consensus sides, the top-five consensus is guaranteed to finish below .500 for the season. It’s not a surprise to see a lot of people piling on the only game with really significant “win or go home” ramifications.

Orange Crush has Washington, Green Bay, Indianapolis, Kansas City, and Seattle. BNEV has Detroit, Philadelphia, Tampa Bay, New Orleans, and San Diego. Greybeard has Baltimore, New Orleans, Miami, Arizona, and Seattle. Things could get very interesting with very few matching teams.

The top-five consensus was 4-1 last week and is now 36-40-4 (47.37%) on the season. The consensus, the most selected sides in each game, is 116-115-7 (50.22%). It was 8-8 last week.

Follow along with us each and every week at BangTheBook.com and also on BangTheBook Radio. Adam Burke and Cole Ryan share general NFL handicapping analysis and free picks on Wednesdays on The Gridiron Gambling Report and then share their SuperContest thoughts and selections on Friday editions of the show.

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