NFL Westgate SuperContest Picks & Consensus Week 15

Last Updated: 2017-08-30

The weather outside is frightful, but the Westgate SuperContest is so delightful. Not only do we get to follow along with the dash for the cash for the full-season pool, but the Mini Contest starts up here in Week 15. The Mini Contest is a three-week sprint for $20,000. The final three weeks of the SuperContest will determine which entrants get a cut of the $2,558,520 prize pool. The top 50 plus ties will get a late holiday gift and the others will play the hindsight game on certain picks and decisions that caused it all to go awry. It’s a fun, but stressful time of the year for a lot of the 1,854 entrants that signed up.

With the first week of the Mini Contest, everybody feels like they have a chance at the $20k. The last two years, it has taken a 14-1 record over Weeks 15, 16, and 17 to grab all of those Benjamins and it would be a surprise to see anything less than that take down the crown this season. The Mini Contest draws a lot of attention because all entrants have a shot at that, but only a chosen few have a shot at money in the 17-week grind.

Fortunately, one of our two BangTheBook entries is still within striking distance of finishing in the money. Technically, both of our entries have a chance at finishing in the money with the Mini Contest, but it would be a remarkable achievement to cash in a contest like this, so hopefully things fall our way here this week.

Things have been falling in good ways for a lot of the field recently. For the second time this season, we are in a stretch with four straight winning weeks in the SuperContest. We’re almost to .500 as a collective unit on the season in a sample size of over 124,000 picks, so this could be a big week in that respect as well. Here are the week-by-week results:

Week 1 – 52.62%

Week 2 – 45.18%

Week 3 – 40.19%

Week 4 – 42.76%

Week 5 – 53.95%

Week 6 – 55.01%

Week 7 – 51.36%

Week 8 – 51.50%

Week 9 – 45.80%

Week 10 – 40.67%

Week 11 – 55.40%

Week 12 – 58.63%

Week 13 – 51.75%

Week 14 – 56.57%

It just seemed easier to list them that way. Overall, the SuperContest field is 62,155-62,251-3,909 for a 49.96 percent success rate.

Our 7226 BangTheBook.com entry is still in the mix for the money. With a record of 39-29-2 and a total of 40 points, our site creator, Ryan, is just two points out of the money. Right now, the cut-off is at 42 points and there are so many ties that it would only be worth about $190, but cashing in the SuperContest is an accolade worth more than the money at that point. It’s a little different if you’re in line for the win or a top-five spot, but the pressure is on to finish strong and get into the top 50. Our 7227 BangTheBook Podcast entry has been coming on fairly strong in recent weeks and now sits at 33-35-2 on the season following a 3-1-1 week last week.

With the stage set, here are our Week 15 picks:

7226 BangTheBook.com (39-29-2, 57.35%)

3 DOLPHINS -2.5

7 GIANTS -4

9 RAVENS -5.5

13 VIKINGS -4.5

19 TEXANS -6

7227 BangTheBook Podcast (33-35-1, 48.53%)

6 BUCCANEERS +6.5

12 BEARS +6.5

13 VIKINGS -4.5

21 CARDINALS -2.5

31 REDSKINS -6.5

For more insight on the BangTheBook Podcast selections, we encourage you to listen to this week’s Westgate SuperContest Selections segment from the December 16 edition of BangTheBook Radio. The guys included additional thoughts on every other game in the Rapid Fire Rundown segment.

Mac Sports Inc. currently leads the SuperContest standings with a record of 46-23-1 and 46.5 points. That’s good for a half-point lead over Orange Crush with a 45-23-2 mark and 46 points. Six entries are tied with 45.5 points. Three entries, including past leaders morley the 15th and BNEV, have 45 points. Three more entries have 44.5 points. Seven entries have 44 points. Four entries have 43.5 points. Ten entries have 43 points. Thirteen have 42.5 points. Twenty-six entries have 42 points.

The Mini Contest will bring back a lot of the dormant entrants. Last week, we had picks from 1,789 of the 1,854 that signed up. Expect that number to go up by about 50 entries or so. There are some that won’t return for the Mini Contest and others that aren’t eligible because they missed the early-bird sign-up. Those that go 1-4 or 0-5 to start out the Mini Contest will probably crawl back into a shell if they are not close to cashing overall.

Without further adieu, let’s check out the pick counts and the top-five consensus (in bold) for this week:

Seattle WIN 46

Los Angeles (+16) 88

Miami 229

New York Jets (+2.5) 199

Dallas 250

Tampa Bay (+6.5) 593 (consensus #2)

New York Giants 238

Detroit (+4) 433 (consensus #5)

Baltimore 456 (consensus #4)

Philadelphia (+5.5) 121

Green Bay 382

Chicago (+6.5) 376

Minnesota 290

Indianapolis (+4.5) 230

Buffalo 235

Cleveland (+10) 131

Kansas City 335

Tennessee (+5) 362

Houston 257

Jacksonville (+6) 179

Arizona 351

New Orleans (+2.5) 102

Atlanta 265

San Francisco (+13.5) 72

New England 430

Denver (+3.5) 360

Oakland 501 (consensus #3)

San Diego (+3) 244

Pittsburgh 603 (consensus #1)

Cincinnati (+3) 215

Washington 121

Carolina (+6.5) 336

You’ll notice that the Sunday Night Football game appears first on the card because it was flexed into that timeslot and the rotation numbers had already been set for Week 15. That’s why Pittsburgh vs. Cincinnati, originally scheduled for that spot, is slotted at the bottom.

The top five consensus this week is the Pittsburgh Steelers, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Oakland Raiders, Baltimore Ravens, and Detroit Lions.

The top-five consensus went 4-0-1 last week to improve to 30-37-3 (44.78%). I seemed to have a minor difference in my numbers last week or perhaps I missed a game in my calculations throughout the season. In any event, the overall consensus record is 100-100-6 (50%), with the PIT/WAS and DET/HOU ties.

Follow along with us each and every week at BangTheBook.com and also on BangTheBook Radio. Adam Burke and Cole Ryan share general NFL handicapping analysis and free picks on Wednesdays on The Gridiron Gambling Report and then share their SuperContest thoughts and selections on Friday editions of the show.

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