NFL Trends: Chicago Bears @ Philadelphia Eagles Betting Trends & Injury Report
- Updated: November 5, 2011
The Chicago Bears and the Philadelphia Eagles are set to square off in Monday Night Football betting action this week at Lincoln Financial Field. But before you make your NFL picks for the big game on Monday, check out some of the great NFL betting trends that we have for the duel!
Chicago Bears Notes: The Bears are technically the second Wild Card holders right now, but if you think that anyone believes they’re going to stay there, you’re either crazy, or you’re from the Windy City. This is a game that most outside of Chicago have down as a loss, just as are the games against the Lions and Packers down the line, meaning it would take virtually perfect football aside from that to get the Monsters of the Midway into the postseason. A win would, indeed keep the Bears in the playoff picture at the moment, but a loss would really be devastating. Chicago is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games played on grass, and it went 3-0-1 ATS in its games last year in November, but it is also 8-24 ATS in its last 32 games on the road as underdogs of between 3.5 and 10 points.
QB Jay Cutler’s struggles in primetime games have been well documented. The problem that he has this year though, is that he just doesn’t have the receivers to work with. RB Matt Forte is the only man who has more than 21 catches on the year, and he is the only one with more than 350 yards as well. WR Dane Sanzenbacher is the only receiver with more than one touchdown grab, and he only has 19 receptions on the season. It should go without saying that Cutler’s numbers aren’t all that great this year, as he is completing just 59.1 percent of his passes for 1,702 yards and nine scores against six picks.
The good news for the Bears is that they really are as healthy as could be right now. S Major Wright has a hip pointer that cost him last week’s game, and T Gabe Carimi has a knee issue that has cost him the first five weeks of the year, but both are expected to play without any real issues this week after the team’s bye week. The only interesting note is whether Forte is truly playing his heart out for a team that seems to refuse to give him a contract extension in spite of the fact that he is a league minimum player this year.
Philadelphia Eagles Notes: The Eagles are going to be disappointed with their first half of the season whether they win this game or lose it, but there is a really big difference between 3-5 and 4-4. At 4-4, Philly is likely to be just one game back of both the Wild Card chase and the NFC East chase, and there are still a ton of divisional games to play. At 3-5, the possibility is there to be three back in the division and two back for the Wild Card, and it’ll be at least two more weeks until the team can sniff that psychological barrier of .500. The team has covered four straight MNF games and six out of seven in primetime overall dating back two years, but the team is only 4-9 ATS in its last 13 against teams with a winning record. To make matters worse, the Eagles are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 as favorites, and they are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
RB LeSean McCoy has been the key to this two game winning streak. All of a sudden, Head Coach Andy Reid has elected to really pound the former Pitt Panther into the ground, giving him nearly 60 carries over the last two games. McCoy has tremendous success both on the ground and as a receiver, accounting for 754 yards on the ground and 138 more as a receiver, totaling 10 touchdowns on the campaign. If he can get going in this game as he did in the last two in which he totaled 311 rushing yards, the Eagles are going to be a tough team to stop.
McCoy is battling a stomach flu, which will be something to watch, especially later in the game on Monday. LB Akeem Jordan is likely to miss this one with a concussion, and this will be yet another week that DE Brandon Graham is on the shelf. DE Juqua Parker, part of that much maligned and very thin defensive front seven, has an ankle injury that has him listed as questionable for MNF.
Head To Head: Last year, the Bears pulled off the upset of the Eagles 31-26 at home to help propel them to the NFC North title. It marked the seventh time in the last nine meetings of these two teams that the underdog covered the spread, and the pup has even won five of those nine games outright. The road team has won six out of nine, and the last time that the Eagles won a game in this series at home was way back in 2000.