NFL Totals Play of the Week – Week 13

Last Updated: 2018-12-01

We managed to sneak in there under the total last week with the Steelers and the Broncos and we’ll come right back to Pittsburgh this week, as the boys from the Iron City host Philip Rivers and the Los Angeles Chargers. The total opened at 52.5 and is down to 52 even with 75% of the early wagers on the over. The weather should be pretty good on Sunday, with temperatures in the 60s.

The Chargers like to run the football, but are going to be without Gordon for this game, so it wouldn’t be a surprise to see Rivers throwing the ball a little more, which really isn’t a bad thing, as the Chargers are completing 69% of their passes against teams who allow 64.5% completions. The Chargers gain 8.6 yards per attempt, while their opponents average allowing 7.2 yards per pass, so the Los Angeles air game works pretty well, although part of that has to be due to teams not being to drop back in pass coverage so quickly, as they do have to respect the run.

Defensively, the Chargers are a little better than average, allowing 19.9 points to teams who average 22.3, while their defensive numbers are pretty close to what teams average on offense. They are slightly better than average against the pass, but that’s pretty much it.

The Steelers pretty much live and die with the arm of Ben Roethlisberger and it’s worked out pretty well for them so far, as they bring an 8-3 record into the game and are gaining 325 passing yards per game. The Steelers do gain 7.5 yards per attempt against teams who allow 7.0, but do rush for slightly fewer yards than foes allow on average.

The Pittsburgh defense is decent against the pass, allowing just 6.2 yards per attempt, which is almost a yard less than their opponents average, while also holding the opposition to fewer yards per rush than they average.

But, when you talk Pittsburgh Steelers you have to talk home and away performances. On the road, the Steelers are -11-1 in totals, while at home they’ve gone 10-4 in totals and that’s evident in their scoring averages, as Pittsburgh has averaged 31.8 points at home going back to the start of last season and 22.8 points on the road. It also affects their defense, which has allowed 17.8 points on the road and 25.4 points at home.

The total is high, but both teams are capable of scoring some points, so will grab this one to go over the number.

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