Last Updated: 2019-12-09
Can we just pretend that Week 15 starts on Sunday? Does anybody really want to see what the Baltimore Ravens can do to the New York Jets on Thursday Night Football? Of course, an argument can be made that it is a really bad spot for Baltimore off of some big and emotional wins. Tell that to the people laying 15 or more with the Ravens.
Week 15 starts as most weeks seem to – with what looks like a disaster on TNF. The Ravens will get some extra rest for their HFA run after likely disposing of the Jets. After that, we’ve got a pretty interesting Sunday lined up. We are severely lacking good games, but have some good games to handicap, so that is a saving grace.
Let’s sort through it all in the Week 15 Opening Line Report:
301/302 NY Jets at Baltimore (-15, 45) – The Ravens are laying a big number with a total in the mid-40s against the Jets. We’ll see if any brave souls try to prey on the aforementioned situation for the Ravens. With the win over the Patriots, they effectively have a two-game lead on home field. That’s not to say that they will sleepwalk to a loss here, but that winning by 16+ points seems like a fairly tall order on a short week off of consecutive physical games. This line could very well come back down to 14.
305/306 Tampa Bay (-3.5, 47.5) at Detroit – The places with odds up on this game are showing Tampa Bay -3.5 or -4 against Detroit. The Lions played well enough on defense to hang around with the Vikings last week, but we aren’t entirely sure which quarterback will play for Detroit this week. Tampa Bay laying a road number like this looks weird, but is probably justified given how well the Bucs have played of late. We’ll see what happens to this line when the game has some more clarity.
307/308 Philadelphia at Washington – The Eagles will be a clear road favorite, but we’ll have to see how they get through Monday Night Football against the Giants first. Look-ahead lines are showing 6 and 40.5 as side and total.
309/310 Chicago at Green Bay (-4.5, 41) – Green Bay started strong and finished with something of a whimper against the Redskins last week, as Washington covered yet again in a big dog role. The Bears beat the Cowboys on Thursday Night Football and Mitch Trubisky looked decent. This line was 5 and is now 4.5 across most of the market. Some shops went ahead and opened right at 4.5. This has real potential to be a sharp vs. public split as the week goes along with some Green Bay public money and some sharp money not believing in the Pack.
311/312 New England (-10, 40.5) at Cincinnati – This line is kind of all over the place, with anywhere from -9 to -10 out there. All we know is that 8.5 is not there any longer. The Patriots offense is rather terrible is we’re being honest, so asking New England to win by margin is a big request. Then again, the Bengals are awful, so this could be the week for the Patriots to right the ship. It could also be a week for the Patriots to sleepwalk. That being said, they still need that #2 seed and that bye because they’re going to look vulnerable against a wild card. The line has gone up a little and will probably continue to unless sharp money hits Cincinnati. That seems unlikely.
313/314 Houston at Tennessee (-3, 49.5) – The Titans went west and blew out the Raiders for yet another impressive win. The Texans, meanwhile, totally no-showed against the Broncos in a blowout loss. This seems like a classic overreaction. This line wouldn’t have been Titans -3 if Houston was off of the New England win. This line started showing 2.5 and 2 while the writing process was happening. The Titans are a good story and Ryan Tannehill has been great, but this line was overcorrected off of last week’s results. If you liked 3 on Houston, you’re probably SOL now.
315/316 Seattle (-6, 48.5) at Carolina – The Seahawks finally got exposed a bit on Monday Night Football against the Rams. Now they’ll go cross-country to take on a Carolina team that has more than quit on the season. This is quite a dilemma for bettors. There has been a constant fade of Seattle throughout the year, but now Seattle is in a spot where they can hang one on somebody if they want. It is an early kick on a shortish week, so it may be tough to do early. But the Panthers want to be anywhere else these last three weeks and you can never overstate how much that means.
317/318 Denver at Kansas City (-10, 45.5) – This line is all over the place this week. The total has come down from 47 to as low as 45, which is quite intriguing. The side is anywhere from 10 to as high as 11.5 out there. It seems like bettors are quite impressed with the Broncos and Drew Lock, as this line was more up in the 11 or 12 range across the board before last week’s results. It isn’t the best of spots for Kansas City, but remember that they handled Denver just fine on the road during a short week a couple months ago.
319/320 Miami at NY Giants – Let’s see how Eli and the Giants get through this week. Let’s see if Daniel Jones is back for next week. This dumpster fire of a game had a look-ahead line of Giants -3 or -3.5 with a total in the upper 40s.
321/322 Buffalo at Pittsburgh (-1.5, 36.5) – The Bills get some primetime love this week, as this 4 p.m. start has been flexed into the Sunday Night Football slot. The Steelers are a short favorite coming off of another Duck Hodges win, but a very short favorite indeed. The low total of 36.5 won’t do much to draw ratings, but we’ve got a real defensive slobberknocker on the horizon here. As far as line movements, so far not much, but the Steelers are getting more and more popular and the Bills are still viewed with a skeptic’s eye.
323/324 Jacksonville at Oakland (-6, 45.5) – The Jaguars are setting futility records. They have lost five straight games by 17+ points, which is something that has not been done in 33 years. Good for them! This is the last Raiders home game in Oakland. After last week’s pathetic effort against the Titans, I can’t help but think Oakland wins and wins big here. It’s the right opponent for it. The market has moved from 5.5 to 6 here, but that’s really about it. I would imagine 7 will hit at some point.
325/326 Cleveland (-2.5, 47.5) at Arizona – The Browns still have some slim playoff hopes. That means that this is a must-win game heading out to the desert to take on the Cardinals. Rival Pittsburgh just went in there and took care of business. We’ll see if the Browns can do the same. The line is right in the same range that Pittsburgh was in, which is interesting because the Steelers have a better pass rush and a better defense. The Browns have an injured QB that clearly looked less than 100% last week. Perhaps we see Arizona take some sharp money here, but they are really hard to bet given their most recent efforts.
327/328 Atlanta at San Francisco (-11, 47) – Is this the flat spot for the 49ers? After a slugfest against the Ravens, the 49ers went into New Orleans and outlasted the Saints in a shootout. This has flat spot written all over it with the Rams on deck. Of course, that would also require the Falcons to care going cross-country to face old friend Kyle Shanahan. The total looks to be on the rise for this one, as the 49ers have played some real high-scoring games lately.
329/330 LA Rams at Dallas (-1, 48) – People are breaking limbs vaulting off of the Cowboys bandwagon. They are taking up residence on the Rams bandwagon, as Sean McVay seems to have righted the ship. This line was as high as -3 at some places, but those are long, long gone now. There is a chance that the Rams will even be favored here when all is said and done. Pick ‘em is out there in the market.
331/332 Minnesota (-2.5, 44.5) at LA Chargers – The game flexed out of Sunday Night Football is this one. Minnesota is a road favorite in LA. The total is falling slightly. This is a game where it is hard to find a side to play. Minnesota has been a lot more consistent, but this is a long trip and the Vikings weren’t exactly impressive last week. The Chargers were in the win over the Jaguars, but we’ve also established that Jacksonville has quit on the season. Minnesota has not quit. This line won’t touch 3 early in the week. If it does, it will be closer to kickoff.
333/334 Indianapolis at New Orleans (-9, 45.5) – The Saints defense didn’t hold up its end last week against the 49ers. We’ll see if adjustments are made for Monday Night Football against the Colts. Indianapolis is on the road for a second straight week and last week’s loss meant an end to their playoff hopes. This line feels pretty high, all things considered, but the Saints need the game more and we’re always going to pay a premium on things like that this late in the season.
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