NFL Mock Draft: Affecting the Future Wagers
- Updated: March 1, 2014
The NFL draft does not take place until May this year but any serious NFL handicappers should be researching mock drafts now. Although mock drafts are at best “guesses” from some of the top journalists in the business, they can be very helpful to a handicapper who is planning on playing some futures, although there is some serious risk involved.
After the draft is complete, the odds makers at the top rated online sportsbooks will begin to shift their NFL futures in favor of teams that have drastically improved in the draft. This could alter the odds in your favor, or against you if you wait until the NFL draft is complete.
For example there is plenty of speculation that the Texans will draft a quarterback. One name being thrown around is Teddy Bridgewater, out of Louisville. You’ll see Blake Bortles in this No. 1 spot across plenty of post-combine mocks. A lot of the signs right now, in late February, point toward new Texans head coach Bill O’Brien nabbing the tall Central Florida QB as his franchise guy. And that may end up being the pick in the long run. Bridgewater is still here because he’s the best quarterback in this draft and the one most ready to step into an NFL lineup. The Texans have the pieces in place to embark on a Chiefs-like bounceback next season — remember, this was a playoff team in both 2011 and ’12. Bortles may be very good in the long run; same with Johnny Manziel. Bridgewater has a shot to be terrific out of the gate.
This could drastically change the odds on the Houston Texans to win the division, the conference and the Super Bowl. Although it may be a leap to think that one person could win a Super Bowl, it is not a leap to think that one player could change the NFL futures. This is where the savvy bettor will come in to play, because after all, value is important.
If you like a different team to win the AFC South, like the Indianapolis Colts or the Tennessee Titans, then perhaps taking a shot on the these teams to win after the Texans draft would be more beneficial. After the draft they hype surrounding Houston (depending on their pick) will be sky high and the odds will be lowered, making plays on the Colts and the Titans more valuable. However, if you like the Texans to win the division, than betting on them now would provide the most value.
Regardless of the team and the division, using mock drafts to plan for future NFL wagers could provide plenty of value this upcoming season.