NFL Betting Trends- Head to Head Touchdown Passes


NFL Betting Trends- 2012 Head-to-Head Touchdown Passes

When it comes to wagering on the upcoming NFL season, BetDSI has you covered with a complete set of odds for a number of different team and player futures. The player futures that caught our eye for this week’s edition of Bang the Book’s NFL Betting Trends are the odds for head-to-head matchups between quarterbacks for the most touchdown passes in the regular season.

While there are nfl odds posted for over 30 different head-to-head matchups we have narrowed things down to our top three plays.


Eli Manning (PICK -200) vs. Peyton Manning (PICK +150)

This could be the most intriguing matchup with Eli coming off a stellar season and second Super Bowl victory, while his older brother Peyton is looking to revitalize his future ‘Hall of Fame’ career in Denver after missing all of last season with a neck injury.

The stats in this matchup favor Peyton, but current form clearly gives the edge to Eli. You already know that Eli is ready to pick-up where he left off after tossing 31 touchdowns in 2010 and 29 last season. Peyton threw for 33 touchdowns in 2009 and 2010, but comes in with a few question marks surrounding his current health. Stick with the younger Manning to edge-out his big brother by one or two TD’s as it may take a few weeks before Peyton shakes off all the rust.


Aaron Rodgers (-2 +140) vs. Drew Brees (+2 -180)

This matchup has the ability to rage-on all season long between two of the premier passers in the league. Rodgers is coming off one of the most spectacular overall performances in the history of the NFL that earned the Packers’ quarterback the league’s MVP award. He threw for 4,643 yards while completing 68.3 percent of his passes for an overall quarterback rating of 122.5. Rodgers also threw for 45 touchdowns in 2011 after averaging 29 a year in his previous three seasons as a starter.

Brees was equally impressive in 2011 and will go down in the record books with the NFL’s all-time single-season passing record of 5,476 yards, shattering Dan Marino’s old mark of 5,084 yards. He also led the NFL in touchdown throws with 46, just edging-out Rodgers. What adds value to Brees’ +2 line in this matchup is the fact that he has more touchdown passes than Rodgers in each of the past three seasons with 34 in 2009 and 33 in 2010. He also comes into the season as the de facto on-field head coach of the Saints. This one will come down to the wire, but stick with Brees to come out on top again this season.


Andrew Luck (-2.5 -110) vs. Robert Griffin III (+2.5 -130)

Neither of these high-profile rookies has yet to throw a pass in an NFL regular-season game, but this will probably be the closest watched matchup on the list. Luck takes over the signal-calling duties for Indianapolis as the No.1 overall pick in the 2012 draft, while RG III landed in Washington as the second pick. These two player’s careers will forever be linked together as each one’s performance will constantly be compared to the others year-in and year-out, which is a fact that both are painfully aware of.

They come into this rookie-year matchup on equal footing as both have already been named their team’s starter for opening day. Both will also get a chance to air it out as each of these team’s offense revolves heavily around the passing game. Luck may have a slight advantage when it comes to each team’s current receiving corps, but each of these teams is in a rebuilding mode. The main point of difference is that Luck will always be looking to throw the ball into the end zone to try and score, while RG III also has the option to run. For this reason alone stick with Luck to toss three or more touchdown passes than his counterpart in Washington.

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Dave Schwab

DJ is a freelance writer that concentrates on his true passion in life; the world of sports. He produces a number of articles each week for as well as a select group of other websites that specialize in providing the most up-to-date information for the sports gaming industry. His goal is to write insightful articles on a wide variety of sporting topics that can provide an edge to today's sophisticated online player.

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