Last Updated: 2017-11-07
NFL week 9 provided some very lopsided victories and a few down to the wire games. While it was not the most exciting Sunday of football there are still some things took look for moving forward.
The Tennessee Titans continue to find ways to win football games despite their awful metrics. Offensively, they were outgained by 84 yards and had 25 less offensive snaps than the Ravens. On third down, this team has difficulty keeping drives alive and ranks 26th on third down conversions. Sunday was more of the same as they were only able to convert 3-11 on third down (27%). The most alarming part of their inability to convert against Baltimore was needing, on average, 4.5 yards on third down. That is very manageable, and they should have fared much better. There is nothing that this offense does particularly well. Fortunately, they have benefited from a relatively easy schedule, and that will continue as the Bengals are on their way to town. The Bengals are a mess on offense currently and are having difficulty scoring. The Titans are 3-1 at home with the only loss coming on the opening week. This team seems comfortable at home and even with their inefficient offense look for them to cover the number as Cincy has big issues on the road.
The Philadelphia Eagles continue their dominance as they hang 51 points on the Broncos defense at home. The Eagles have been stellar at home posting a 5-0 record some far this season and it has not really been close. Carson Wentz seems dialed in right now and has been very efficient in the passing game. While Zach Ertz has been one of his favorite targets especially in the red zone, Wentz has been sharing the love finding all his receivers. This offense has been very efficient and leads the league in total offense averaging 377 yards per game and lead in points per game 31.4. The ground game has been extremely effective as well and that will help come playoff time. The recent acquisition of Jay Ajayi already seems to be working out well as he had 8 carries for 77 yards. Taking out the long run of 46 yards he was still able to average 4.4 yards. The Eagles backfield is deep and that will also contribute to future success. The bye week is here for the Eagles, but expect the scoring to continue. Dallas is the next game on Sunday night football and there should be fireworks in this one. Expect this game to go over the total.
The Kansas City Chiefs lost their third game of the last four. The defense has really been letting them down as of late. They are ranked 31st in total defense only above the lowly Colts. Teams who run the ball effectively have had their way against the Chiefs. The bigger issue is how the defense cannot get off the field as they continue to let teams convert third downs and move the sticks. While the Chiefs are ranked 2nd in turnover ratio that is misleading because of how well the offense takes care of the football with only four giveaways. Offensively, the team is still ranked 2nd overall and Andy Reid continues to have some of the most creative play calling in the league. However, as the defense continues to allow long drives it keeps the offense on the sidelines. The Chiefs ran 55 plays on Sunday and in the second half only had four possessions. It seems like the bye week could not have come at a better time for the Chiefs and with Reid’s track record off the bye it should be bad news for the Giants. Reid is giving his team off until next Monday. Look for the Chiefs to get thing going when they get back on the field and go over the team total for the game.
The Indianapolis Colts hung on to win a game that went down to the wire. The win can mostly be attributed to the Texans losing their starting quarterback to injury and Tom Savage being a poor backup. Indy’s last ranked defense allowed only 31% of the Texans plays to rate as successful. On offense the Colts had a 59% success rate averaging 6.4 yards on first down and that was key for them as they put up 371 yards. The Colts play much better on turf and it showed on Sunday. There have been some signs of hope for this offense with Jacoby Brissett as the season has progressed. Unfortunately, this team has issues closing out games, and always seems to put themselves in position to lose. The Pittsburgh Steelers roll into town fresh off the bye week and that could be trouble for the Colts. Pittsburgh is ranked 4th in total defense and the last time the Colts played a top defense they were shut out at home. It will be interesting to see how the Steelers start offensively off the bye. The defense should not really have issues with the Colts this week. 10 points is a lot to lay on the road so if that is too steep play the Steelers over the team total. Also, if the Colts can get the first score of the game there will be some in-game value on the live odds.
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