NFL Betting: Odds to Win Super Bowl LIII

Last Updated: 2018-02-05

nfl futuresThe city of Philadelphia will never be the same. The Eagles won their first Super Bowl in franchise history and there are now 13 teams without a Lombardi Trophy. Will your favorite team be the next one to end a long and painful drought? Will the usual suspects be back in the picture again?

As temp workers continue to suck up confetti off of the playing surface at US Bank Stadium and the city of Philadelphia tries to rebuild from the aftermath of Sunday night’s celebration, we’re looking ahead to the 2018 NFL season and the winner of Super Bowl LIII. It feels weird to be looking 363 days into the future on the day after Super Bowl LII, but here we are. Odds to win the 2019 Super Bowl were up prior to this anyway.

Here is the list as of February 5 from 5Dimes Sportsbook:

New England Patriots +500

Philadelphia Eagles +700

Green Bay Packers +800

Pittsburgh Steelers +1000

Minnesota Vikings +1200

Los Angeles Rams +1750

San Francisco 49ers +1800

New Orleans Saints +1850

Houston Texans +1850

Jacksonville Jaguars +2000

Atlanta Falcons +2000

Dallas Cowboys +2000

Oakland Raiders +2100

Seattle Seahawks +2500

Carolina Panthers +2500

Kansas City Chiefs +3000

Los Angeles Chargers +3000

Denver Broncos +3500

Indianapolis Colts +4000

Tampa Bay Buccaneers +4000

Tennessee Titans +5000

Arizona Cardinals +5000

Detroit Lions +5000

Baltimore Ravens +5000

New York Giants +5500

Washington Redskins +7000

Miami Dolphins +7000

Buffalo Bills +10000

Chicago Bears +10000

Cincinnati Bengals +10000

Cleveland Browns +10000

New York Jets +10000

Plenty of things will change over the course of the NFL offseason thanks to free agency, trades, and the NFL Draft. If you want to tie your money up for a year because there is some value on the board, that is certainly your prerogative. We’ll help you out by pointing out a few teams that appear to have some value.

Tennessee Titans (+5000) – Keep in mind that the penultimate goal of every futures bet is to guarantee profit. The Titans appear to be in good shape in the AFC South. New head coach Mike Vrabel has an excellent coaching staff with offensive coordinator Matt LaFleur and defensive coordinator Dean Pees. It was thought that the 68-year-old would retire when he left Baltimore, but the Ohio native will be the DC for Ohio native and former Ohio State Buckeye Mike Vrabel. LaFleur did a tremendous job as Sean McVay’s right-hand man last season and should be able to tailor an offense for Marcus Mariota. With the uncertainty of Andrew Luck, the Texans in an interesting spot, and the Jaguars likely to be a little bit overvalued coming into the season, there seems to be some value here.

Carolina Panthers (+2500) – We’ll see what the Panthers do over the summer months to improve their team, but they are one of the most established teams in this price range. There is a big difference between rehabbing over the offseason and preparing for the upcoming season. Expect Cam Newton to look a lot different at the start of the 2018 season. Christian McCaffrey is no longer an unknown in the Panthers offense. Replacing defensive coordinator Steve Wilks will be tough, but the Panthers had no issues replacing Sean McDermott. Expect Carolina to be right there in the playoff hunt again.

Los Angeles Chargers (+3000) – The Chargers don’t have much of a home field advantage in LA, but they’ve got a really nice core and a division that has gotten weaker around them. The Chiefs are going with Pat Mahomes. The Broncos don’t have a quarterback right now, though they could be a player for guys like Kirk Cousins and Nick Foles. The Chargers have two terrific defensive ends, a solid veteran quarterback, and a coaching staff that seemed to gel as the season went on.

Who will it be?! – Since 2003, a team has gone from worst to first in the division every year except 2014. The candidates for 2018 are the Jets, Browns, Texans, Broncos, Giants, Bears, Buccaneers, and 49ers. Obviously the 49ers seem to be the best chance, but with their futures price at +1800, there isn’t any value on that.

The Jets, Browns, Texans, and Broncos are all in the market for quarterbacks. There are some available via the Draft and via trade/free agency. Where will Kirk Cousins land? Will he be the missing piece? Is Nick Foles on the move? Will Josh Rosen, Sam Darnold, Baker Mayfield, or Josh Allen be game-changers?

Interestingly, the only two of that set of teams with a new head coach are the Giants and the Bears. We’ve seen new coaches make impacts immediately, as Sean McDermott and Sean McVay took their respective teams to the playoffs right away. Could Matt Nagy be that guy in Chicago? How about Pat Shurmur in New York?

If you believe in that trend, and there is some significance to it, then one of the division doormats should be a consideration for you in the futures market.

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